Lufta mes SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Iranit ka zgjatur shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr nga sa pritej, por pavar\u00ebsisht tronditjeve, tregu global i naft\u00ebs ka treguar nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme.<\/p>\n
\u00c7mimet e karburanteve jan\u00eb rritur ndjesh\u00ebm, duke i kushtuar nj\u00eb familjeje mesatare amerikane afro 800 dollar\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i konfliktit. Megjithat\u00eb, \u00e7mimi i naft\u00ebs bruto nuk ka arritur nivelet rekord q\u00eb shum\u00eb analist\u00eb prisnin.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb po e pengon rritjen e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs?<\/p>\n
Sipas Natasha Kaneva, analiste kryesore e mallrave n\u00eb JPMorgan, jan\u00eb tre faktor\u00eb kryesor\u00eb q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndihmuar n\u00eb stabilizimin e tregut.<\/p>\n
S\u00eb pari, kompanit\u00eb dhe shtetet kan\u00eb gjetur m\u00ebnyra alternative p\u00ebr t\u00eb transportuar naft\u00ebn, duke shmangur ose kaluar p\u00ebrmes Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit. Arabia Saudite ka p\u00ebrdorur tubacionet p\u00ebr t\u00eb devijuar miliona fu\u00e7i naft\u00eb n\u00eb dit\u00eb drejt porteve m\u00eb t\u00eb sigurta. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, SHBA-ja, Venezuela, Brazili, Guajana dhe Kanadaja kan\u00eb rritur s\u00eb bashku prodhimin me rreth 2 milion\u00eb fu\u00e7i n\u00eb dit\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u201cFu\u00e7it\u00eb gjejn\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rrjedhur\u201d, tha Kaneva.<\/p>\n
S\u00eb dyti, rezervat globale t\u00eb naft\u00ebs kan\u00eb rezultuar m\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme nga sa pritej. Shum\u00eb vende kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur m\u00eb pak nga rezervat e tyre strategjike, duke ruajtur nj\u00eb \u201cjast\u00ebk\u201d q\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret n\u00eb rast t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsimit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
S\u00eb treti, k\u00ebrkesa globale p\u00ebr naft\u00eb ka r\u00ebn\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm gjat\u00eb luft\u00ebs, me rreth 5 milion\u00eb fu\u00e7i n\u00eb dit\u00eb. Konsumator\u00ebt kan\u00eb reduktuar udh\u00ebtimet, p\u00ebrdorimin e automjeteve me benzin\u00eb dhe kan\u00eb kaluar m\u00eb shum\u00eb drejt transportit publik dhe automjeteve elektrike. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, puna nga sht\u00ebpia dhe rritja e eksporteve t\u00eb automjeteve elektrike nga Kina kan\u00eb ndikuar m\u00eb tej n\u00eb uljen e k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebta faktor\u00eb kan\u00eb ndihmuar n\u00eb kompensimin e rreth 13 milion\u00eb fu\u00e7ive naft\u00eb n\u00eb dit\u00eb q\u00eb jan\u00eb humbur p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb luft\u00ebs. Sipas Kaneva, ky ekuilib\u00ebr i ri mund t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb, megjith\u00ebse me \u00e7mime disi m\u00eb t\u00eb larta.<\/p>\n
Pse nafta mund t\u00eb shtrenjtohet m\u00eb tej?<\/p>\n
Pavar\u00ebsisht stabilitetit aktual, tregu global i naft\u00ebs ka disa pika t\u00eb dob\u00ebta. SHBA-ja dhe Kina jan\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00eb rezervat e tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrballuar goditjen e konfliktit.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb nga pikat m\u00eb kritike ishte Cushing, n\u00eb Oklahoma, nj\u00eb qend\u00ebr kryesore e magazinimit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs n\u00eb SHBA. Rezervat atje arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb korrik nj\u00eb nivel minimal operacional, kur kompanit\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi fizike p\u00ebr t\u00eb pompuar naft\u00ebn p\u00ebrmes tubacioneve drejt rafinerive. Megjithat\u00eb, rezervat jan\u00eb rikuperuar gjat\u00eb jav\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit dhe jan\u00eb larguar disi nga zona e rrezikut.<\/p>\n
A mund t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb gjat\u00eb lufta SHBA-Iran?<\/p>\n
Disa analist\u00eb besojn\u00eb se tregu mund ta p\u00ebrballoj\u00eb nj\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb zgjatur, edhe n\u00ebse Ngushtica e Hormuzit nuk q\u00ebndron as plot\u00ebsisht e hapur dhe as plot\u00ebsisht e mbyllur.<\/p>\n
Por ekziston edhe skenari m\u00eb pesimist: rezervat mund t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb bien, rrug\u00ebt alternative t\u00eb furnizimit mund t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpriten dhe k\u00ebrkesa t\u00eb mos ulet mjaftuesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb kompensuar humbjet. N\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb, \u00e7mimet e energjis\u00eb mund t\u00eb rriten ndjesh\u00ebm, duke shtuar presionin ekonomik mbi SHBA-n\u00eb dhe duke e detyruar administrat\u00ebn Trump t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin e konfliktit.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb drejtues i nj\u00eb banke t\u00eb madhe i tha CNN-s\u00eb se konflikti mund t\u00eb shnd\u00ebrrohet n\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb ai e cil\u00ebsoi si \u201cnj\u00eb luft\u00eb e p\u00ebrjetshme\u201d.<\/p>\n
\u201cNj\u00eb luft\u00eb e p\u00ebrjetshme do t\u2019i b\u00ebnte t\u00eb gjith\u00eb t\u00eb ndiheshin nervoz\u00eb, por pas nj\u00eb pike t\u00eb caktuar e kupton se \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht normalja e re\u201d, tha ai.<\/p>\n
Sa gjat\u00eb mund ta p\u00ebrballoj\u00eb tregu k\u00ebt\u00eb \u201cnormalitet t\u00eb ri\u201d?<\/p>\n
Kjo mbetet nj\u00eb nga pyetjet kryesore. P\u00ebr momentin, tregu i naft\u00ebs po arrin t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb ekuilibrin p\u00ebrmes prodhimit alternativ, rezervave dhe r\u00ebnies s\u00eb k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs. Por sa m\u00eb gjat\u00eb t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb lufta, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb k\u00ebto mekanizma do t\u00eb vihen n\u00eb prov\u00eb.\u00a0 \/euronews.al\/<\/em><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Lufta mes SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Iranit ka zgjatur shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr nga sa pritej, por pavar\u00ebsisht tronditjeve, tregu global i naft\u00ebs ka treguar nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme. \u00c7mimet e karburanteve jan\u00eb rritur ndjesh\u00ebm, duke i kushtuar nj\u00eb familjeje mesatare amerikane afro 800 dollar\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i konfliktit. Megjithat\u00eb, \u00e7mimi i naft\u00ebs bruto nuk ka arritur […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99559"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99559\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}