{"id":98927,"date":"2026-09-06T10:48:17","date_gmt":"2026-09-06T10:48:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/09\/06\/vetem-8-probabiliteti-ne-polymarket-per-renien-e-qeverise-rama-kete-vit\/"},"modified":"2026-09-06T10:48:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-06T10:48:17","slug":"vetem-8-probabiliteti-ne-polymarket-per-renien-e-qeverise-rama-kete-vit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/09\/06\/vetem-8-probabiliteti-ne-polymarket-per-renien-e-qeverise-rama-kete-vit\/","title":{"rendered":"Vet\u00ebm 8% probabiliteti n\u00eb Polymarket p\u00ebr r\u00ebnien e qeveris\u00eb Rama k\u00ebt\u00eb vit\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja\/<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Polymarket \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb burs\u00eb online p\u00ebr parashikime nga m\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshmet, ku p\u00ebrdoruesit blejn\u00eb dhe shesin kontrata t\u00eb lidhura me ngjarje reale, si zgjedhjet politike, vendimet ekonomike, konfliktet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, sporti apo zhvillimet teknologjike. \u00c7mimi i nj\u00eb kontrate, zakonisht nd\u00ebrmjet 0 dhe 1 dollar, interpretohet si vler\u00ebsimi i tregut p\u00ebr probabilitetin e nj\u00eb ngjarjeje; p\u00ebr shembull, nj\u00eb \u00e7mim prej 0,70 dollar\u00ebsh n\u00ebnkupton se pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebsit i japin ngjarjes af\u00ebrsisht 70% mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb. Pas p\u00ebrfundimit t\u00eb afatit parashikues, kontrata fituese paguhet me nj\u00eb dollar, nd\u00ebrsa ajo humb\u00ebse humbet vler\u00ebn. P\u00ebrve\u00e7 mund\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb fitimit financiar, Polymarket p\u00ebrdoret edhe si burim informacioni p\u00ebr t\u00eb matur n\u00eb koh\u00eb reale pritshm\u00ebrit\u00eb kolektive.<\/p>\n<p>Aktualisht n\u00eb Polymarket jan\u00eb investuar rreth 140 mij\u00eb dollar\u00eb nga qindra investitor\u00eb mbi parashikimin se qeveria Rama do t\u00eb bjer\u00eb deri m\u00eb 31 dhjetor 2026. Ata q\u00eb e parashikonin dje k\u00ebt\u00eb gj\u00eb e kan\u00eb probabilitetin e fitores vet\u00ebm 8%, nd\u00ebrsa ata q\u00eb parashikonin t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt\u00ebn e kan\u00eb probabilitetin e fitores 92%. Pra, n\u00ebse dikush ka futur dje 8 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr r\u00ebnien e qeveris\u00eb Rama, n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit merr 100 dollar\u00eb, po t\u00eb bjer\u00eb qeveria (n\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt\u00ebn merr 0 dollar\u00eb).<\/p>\n<p>Ndryshe nga bastet online, ku kompanit\u00eb e basteve p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb dhe l\u00ebvizin koeficient\u00ebt bazuar n\u00eb analizat statistikore t\u00eb klubeve q\u00eb p\u00ebrballen n\u00eb nj\u00eb ndeshje sportive, n\u00eb Polymarket probabilitetet luhaten sipas shumave q\u00eb futen p\u00ebr parashikimet nga pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebsit n\u00eb burs\u00eb. K\u00ebshtu, m\u00eb 20 qershor mbizot\u00ebronte parashikimi p\u00ebr r\u00ebnien e qeveris\u00eb Rama brenda vitit me 54% probabilitet, nd\u00ebrsa tani probabiliteti ka zbritur n\u00eb vet\u00ebm 8% (shihni grafikun e m\u00ebposht\u00ebm).<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja\/ Polymarket \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb burs\u00eb online p\u00ebr parashikime nga m\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshmet, ku p\u00ebrdoruesit blejn\u00eb dhe shesin kontrata t\u00eb lidhura me ngjarje reale, si zgjedhjet politike, vendimet ekonomike, konfliktet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, sporti apo zhvillimet teknologjike. \u00c7mimi i nj\u00eb kontrate, zakonisht nd\u00ebrmjet 0 dhe 1 dollar, interpretohet si vler\u00ebsimi i tregut p\u00ebr probabilitetin e nj\u00eb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98927","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98927"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98927\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}