Q\u00eb nga shkurti i vitit 2022, Moska dhe Kievi kan\u00eb vazhduar t\u00eb mbajn\u00eb kontakte, por pa arritur t\u2019i shnd\u00ebrrojn\u00eb ato n\u00eb nj\u00eb proces t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb drejt paqes. Ka pasur arm\u00ebpushime t\u00eb shkurtra, shk\u00ebmbime t\u00eb t\u00eb burgosurve dhe p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsim, por asnj\u00ebra prej k\u00ebtyre nismave nuk ka prodhuar rezultate vendimtare.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb faz\u00eb e re negociatash t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb lart\u00eb nisi n\u00eb janar 2025, pak pas marrjes s\u00eb detyr\u00ebs nga Donald Trump, i cili kishte premtuar se do t\u2019i jepte fund luft\u00ebs brenda nj\u00eb kohe shum\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr. Raundi i fundit i bisedimeve t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejta u zhvillua n\u00eb shkurt, me takime n\u00eb Abu Dhabi dhe m\u00eb pas n\u00eb Gjenev\u00eb. Edhe n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast, megjithat\u00eb, nuk pati asnj\u00eb p\u00ebrparim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm. Negociatat u nd\u00ebrpren\u00eb papritur kur v\u00ebmendja e administrat\u00ebs amerikane u p\u00ebrqendrua te lufta me Iranin. Q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb, kontaktet mes dy kryeqyteteve kan\u00eb mbetur t\u00eb kufizuara, nd\u00ebrsa \u00e7\u00ebshtjet themelore kan\u00eb mbetur t\u00eb gjitha mbi tryez\u00eb. N\u00eb qershor, Volodymyr Zelensky publikoi nj\u00eb let\u00ebr t\u00eb hapur drejtuar Vladimir Putinit, duke propozuar rifillimin e bisedimeve t\u00eb paqes, por presidenti rus vazhdoi t\u00eb tregonte pak interes p\u00ebr nj\u00eb zgjidhje p\u00ebrmes negociatave, duke p\u00ebrs\u00ebritur vullnetin p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar luft\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Zona e kontestuar<\/p>\n
Pika kryesore kritike lidhet me territorin. N\u00eb raundin e fundit t\u00eb negociatave u diskutua nj\u00eb plan paqeje me 20 pika, i cili p\u00ebrfshinte garanci sigurie p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar agresione t\u00eb reja ruse dhe angazhime p\u00ebr rind\u00ebrtimin e Ukrain\u00ebs. Por \u00e7\u00ebshtja vendimtare mbetet kontrolli mbi Donetskun. Rusia k\u00ebrkon q\u00eb Kievi t\u00eb dor\u00ebzoj\u00eb territorin q\u00eb ende kontrollon n\u00eb rajonin lindor, nj\u00eb zon\u00eb rreth 80 kilometra e gjat\u00eb dhe 65 kilometra e gjer\u00eb, me dhjet\u00ebra qendra t\u00eb banuara. Putini synon kontrollin e plot\u00eb t\u00eb Donetskut, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb qytetet e fortifikuara Sloviansk dhe Kramatorsk.<\/p>\n
Zelensky ka p\u00ebrjashtuar mund\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb thjesht t\u00eb urdh\u00ebroj\u00eb t\u00ebrheqjen, si p\u00ebr arsye ligjore, ashtu edhe politike dhe humanitare, duke kujtuar se n\u00eb at\u00eb zon\u00eb ende jetojn\u00eb qindra mij\u00ebra njer\u00ebz. Propozimi i tij \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb t\u00ebrheqje simetrike e forcave, me krijimin e nj\u00eb zone t\u00eb \u00e7militarizuar ose ekonomikisht t\u00eb lir\u00eb, t\u00eb mbik\u00ebqyrur nga Kievi, nd\u00ebrsa vija e kontaktit do t\u2019u besohej forcave nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, mbetet nj\u00eb zgjidhje e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb: pa nj\u00eb kompromis p\u00ebr Donetskun, nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje paqeje duket pak realiste, edhe pse konsumimi ushtarak i t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebve mund t\u2019i shtyj\u00eb, n\u00eb planin afatgjat\u00eb, t\u00eb dyja drejt hapjeve t\u00eb reja.<\/p>\n
Centrali<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pik\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb centrali b\u00ebrthamor i Zaporizhzhias, m\u00eb i madhi n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, i pushtuar nga rus\u00ebt q\u00eb nga marsi 2022. Gjasht\u00eb reaktor\u00ebt kan\u00eb koh\u00eb q\u00eb jan\u00eb jasht\u00eb funksionit. P\u00ebr t\u2019i v\u00ebn\u00eb s\u00ebrish n\u00eb pun\u00eb do t\u00eb nevojiteshin investime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe rind\u00ebrtimin e dig\u00ebs s\u00eb Kakhovk\u00ebs, e cila siguronte ujin p\u00ebr ftohje.<\/p>\n
Kievi k\u00ebrkon \u00e7militarizimin e zon\u00ebs dhe parashikon krijimin e nj\u00eb zone ekonomike t\u00eb lir\u00eb. Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb propozuar nj\u00eb administrim t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt mes Uashingtonit, Mosk\u00ebs dhe Kievit, por kjo hipotez\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb konsideruar jorealiste nga ukrainasit, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kan\u00eb propozuar si alternativ\u00eb nj\u00eb administrim 50 me 50 p\u00ebr qind mes SHBA-ve dhe Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb se Rusia nuk ka nd\u00ebrmend t\u00eb heq\u00eb dor\u00eb nga kontrolli i centralit. Nj\u00eb kompromis k\u00ebtu nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i pamundur, por do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonte nj\u00eb nivel besimi q\u00eb sot thjesht nuk ekziston.<\/p>\n
Garancit\u00eb e siguris\u00eb<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, rreth tryez\u00ebs s\u00eb negociatave nuk jan\u00eb vet\u00ebm rus\u00ebt dhe ukrainasit. Shtetet e Bashkuara mbeten nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsi kryesor, por qeverit\u00eb evropiane kan\u00eb frik\u00eb se mund t\u00eb lihen jasht\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje q\u00eb do t\u00eb synonte t\u00eb riform\u00ebsonte ekuilibrat e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb kontinent.<\/p>\n
Prandaj, Franca, Gjermania dhe Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar kan\u00eb krijuar nj\u00eb format negociues q\u00eb synon t\u00eb mbroj\u00eb interesat evropiane, t\u00eb ashtuquajturit \u201cVullnetar\u00ebt\u201d. Kievi k\u00ebrkon nga Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe Evropa garanci sigurie sipas modelit t\u00eb NATO-s n\u00eb rast t\u00eb nj\u00eb agresioni t\u00eb ri rus dhe synon t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb nj\u00eb ushtri prej 800 mij\u00eb trupash. Por Moska e konsideron t\u00eb papranueshme pranin\u00eb e trupave evropiane n\u00eb territorin ukrainas.<\/p>\n
Legjitimiteti<\/p>\n
Mbi tryez\u00eb r\u00ebndojn\u00eb gjithashtu kostot e luft\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb rind\u00ebrtimit. Humbjet e Ukrain\u00ebs vler\u00ebsohen n\u00eb 800 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb dhe mbetet e hapur \u00e7\u00ebshtja se sa duhet t\u00eb kontribuoj\u00eb Rusia. N\u00eb sfond q\u00ebndron edhe \u00e7\u00ebshtja e pasurive ruse t\u00eb ngrira n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u2019i nd\u00ebrlikuar m\u00eb tej gj\u00ebrat jan\u00eb edhe dosjet strategjike: an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi i Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb NATO, i kund\u00ebrshtuar nga Moska, por i p\u00ebrcaktuar n\u00eb Kushtetut\u00ebn ukrainase, si dhe an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian, i cili gjithsesi duket ende larg. Dhe, mbi t\u00eb gjitha, mbetet legjitimiteti politik i nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje, i cili n\u00eb Kiev duhet t\u00eb sigurohet p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb referendumi.\/Corriere<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Q\u00eb nga shkurti i vitit 2022, Moska dhe Kievi kan\u00eb vazhduar t\u00eb mbajn\u00eb kontakte, por pa arritur t\u2019i shnd\u00ebrrojn\u00eb ato n\u00eb nj\u00eb proces t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb drejt paqes. Ka pasur arm\u00ebpushime t\u00eb shkurtra, shk\u00ebmbime t\u00eb t\u00eb burgosurve dhe p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsim, por asnj\u00ebra prej k\u00ebtyre nismave nuk ka prodhuar rezultate vendimtare. Nj\u00eb faz\u00eb e re negociatash […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98916"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98916\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}