Nj\u00eb pik\u00ebpamje q\u00eb ka nisur t\u00eb qarkulloj\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb lidhur me luft\u00ebn mes Iranit, SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit \u00ebsht\u00eb se Teherani ka dal\u00eb fitues nga p\u00ebrballja.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, sipas nj\u00eb analize t\u00eb CNN, ky p\u00ebrfundim mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i parakohsh\u00ebm, pasi zhvillimet e fundit tregojn\u00eb se balanca e presionit mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke ndryshuar n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Washingtonit.<\/p>\n
Argumenti se Irani ka fituar \u00ebsht\u00eb i drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb: Pavar\u00ebsisht sulmeve intensive amerikane dhe izraelite, qeveria iraniane vijon t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet, arsenali raketor mbetet nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim p\u00ebr rajonin dhe Teherani ruan ende aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb penguar transportin detar p\u00ebrmes Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit. P\u00ebr muaj me radh\u00eb, kjo aft\u00ebsi i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb Iranit nj\u00eb kart\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme presioni ndaj SHBA-s\u00eb dhe ekonomis\u00eb globale.<\/p>\n
Por CNN argumenton se situata ka ndryshuar dhe konflikti mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb hyr\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb re.
\nSipas analiz\u00ebs, lufta \u00ebsht\u00eb zhvilluar n\u00eb kat\u00ebr akte. I pari nisi me sulmet ajrore t\u00eb 28 shkurtit dhe vazhdoi p\u00ebr rreth gjasht\u00eb jav\u00eb. Akti i dyt\u00eb u karakterizua nga arm\u00ebpushimi dhe negociatat q\u00eb kulmuan me Memorandumin e Mir\u00ebkuptimit t\u00eb 17 qershorit. M\u00eb pas, Irani dhe SHBA-ja u p\u00ebrfshin\u00eb s\u00ebrish n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim, nd\u00ebrsa tensionet u p\u00ebrqendruan ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht te Ngushtica e Hormuzit.
\nTashm\u00eb, sipas CNN, konflikti ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb konsiderohet si \u201cakti i kat\u00ebrt\u201d: Presioni ekonomik dhe ushtarak amerikan ndaj Iranit.<\/p>\n
Q\u00eb nga mesi i korrikut, SHBA-ja ka forcuar masat ndaj porteve iraniane dhe tregtis\u00eb s\u00eb naft\u00ebs, nd\u00ebrsa forcat amerikane jan\u00eb angazhuar p\u00ebr sigurimin e korridoreve detare dhe mbrojtjen e anijeve tregtare q\u00eb kalojn\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebr Hormuz.<\/p>\n
Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb cituara n\u00eb analiz\u00eb, flukset e naft\u00ebs p\u00ebrmes Ngushtic\u00ebs jan\u00eb rikuperuar n\u00eb rreth dy t\u00eb tretat e niveleve t\u00eb para luft\u00ebs. Kjo, sipas CNN, tregon se presioni mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke kaluar nga Washingtoni drejt Teheranit.<\/p>\n
Irani hyri n\u00eb konflikt pas vitesh sanksionesh dhe v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsish ekonomike. Situata e tij ekonomike \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar m\u00eb tej gjat\u00eb luft\u00ebs, me inflacion t\u00eb lart\u00eb, zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs dhe humbje t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb pun\u00ebs. P\u00ebr CNN, k\u00ebto faktor\u00eb jan\u00eb thelb\u00ebsor\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar se sa gjat\u00eb mund t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb regjimi iranian t\u00eb p\u00ebrballoj\u00eb presionin.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb, Teherani ka ende disa karta n\u00eb dor\u00eb. Ai mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj\u00eb s\u00ebrish transportin detar n\u00eb Hormuz, t\u00eb godas\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn energjetike n\u00eb vendet e Gjirit ose t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet te grupet aleate n\u00eb rajon, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Huthit n\u00eb Jemen.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, analiza vler\u00ebson se k\u00ebto taktika deri tani nuk kan\u00eb prodhuar rezultatin e synuar. P\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar trafikun detar p\u00ebrmes Hormuzit nuk kan\u00eb arritur t\u00eb shkaktojn\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerjen e plot\u00eb t\u00eb qarkullimit, nd\u00ebrsa transporti global \u00ebsht\u00eb rikuperuar.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pik\u00eb ky\u00e7e \u00ebsht\u00eb programi b\u00ebrthamor iranian. P\u00ebr Washingtonin, heqja dor\u00eb nga pasurimi i uraniumit dhe garantimi i liris\u00eb s\u00eb lundrimit n\u00eb Hormuz mbeten nd\u00ebr objektivat kryesore. P\u00ebr udh\u00ebheqjen iraniane, pranimi i k\u00ebtyre k\u00ebrkesave do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb interpretohej si shenj\u00eb dob\u00ebsie.<\/p>\n
CNN paralajm\u00ebron se presioni i shtuar mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb reagim m\u00eb agresiv nga Teherani. Irani mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb s\u00ebrish arm\u00ebt dhe aleat\u00ebt e tij rajonal\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur kostot ekonomike dhe politike p\u00ebr SHBA-n\u00eb.
\nMegjithat\u00eb, sipas analiz\u00ebs, presidenti Donald Trump duket m\u00eb i vendosur nga sa kishin parashikuar drejtuesit iranian\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebrballje, \u00e7\u00ebshtja kryesore mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb \u201cpika e thyerjes\u201d. Irani ka argumentuar prej dekadash se nuk dor\u00ebzohet p\u00ebrball\u00eb presionit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm, nd\u00ebrsa zyrtar\u00ebt iranian\u00eb kan\u00eb deklaruar se sanksionet dhe bllokadat jan\u00eb t\u00eb destinuara t\u00eb d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Por analiza e CNN v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje se edhe regjimet dhe organizatat q\u00eb duken t\u00eb paprekshme mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb nj\u00eb pik\u00eb ku presioni b\u00ebhet i pap\u00ebrballuesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, \u00ebsht\u00eb ende her\u00ebt p\u00ebr t\u00eb shpallur nj\u00eb fitues t\u00eb konfliktit. P\u00ebrballja mes SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Iranit mund t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb dhe t\u00eb marr\u00eb forma t\u00eb ndryshme.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, ajo q\u00eb duket se ka ndryshuar \u00ebsht\u00eb pozicioni strategjik. N\u00ebse SHBA-ja arrin t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb t\u00eb hapura rrug\u00ebt tregtare p\u00ebrmes Hormuzit dhe t\u00eb kufizoj\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat iraniane nga nafta, presioni mbi Teheranin mund t\u00eb rritet ndjesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Sipas CNN, \u201cakti i kat\u00ebrt\u201d i konfliktit mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm nga sa duket. P\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit, dinamika e luft\u00ebs mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke favorizuar Washingtonin dhe jo Teheranin.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nj\u00eb pik\u00ebpamje q\u00eb ka nisur t\u00eb qarkulloj\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb lidhur me luft\u00ebn mes Iranit, SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit \u00ebsht\u00eb se Teherani ka dal\u00eb fitues nga p\u00ebrballja. Megjithat\u00eb, sipas nj\u00eb analize t\u00eb CNN, ky p\u00ebrfundim mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i parakohsh\u00ebm, pasi zhvillimet e fundit tregojn\u00eb se balanca e presionit mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke ndryshuar n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98322\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}