N\u00eb momentet vendimtare, Vladimir Putin e ka thirrur gjithmon\u00eb n\u00eb krah t\u00eb tij. \u00cbsht\u00eb i vetmi tek i cili mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet, sepse nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht nj\u00eb aleat, por nj\u00eb vasal: nuk mund t\u2019i thot\u00eb jo. Pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, n\u00eb klim\u00ebn e tensioneve dhe p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit t\u00eb sulmeve ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs, vizita e papritur e Aleksand\u00ebr Lukashenkos n\u00eb Mosk\u00eb po ngre shum\u00eb pik\u00ebpyetje. Sot ai do t\u00eb takohet me Putinin dhe t\u00eb gjith\u00eb pyesin n\u00ebse do t\u00eb diskutojn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb zgjerim t\u00eb luft\u00ebs apo p\u00ebr nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb drejt paqes.<\/p>\n
Deklaratat e b\u00ebra dje nga udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi i Minskut, pas bised\u00ebs me kryeministrin rus Mikhail Mishustin, jan\u00eb t\u00eb dykuptimta. Agjencia TASS ka ve\u00e7uar pik\u00ebrisht deklarat\u00ebn e tij p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn:<\/p>\n
\u201cDuke par\u00eb nga e ardhmja, do t\u00eb diskutojm\u00eb p\u00ebr problemin ton\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt, me t\u00eb cilin po p\u00ebrballemi n\u00eb jug t\u00eb Bjellorusis\u00eb dhe n\u00eb per\u00ebndim t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb\u201d, tha Lukashenko. \u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb problem real, por do ta zgjidhim, pavar\u00ebsisht se sa shum\u00eb disa e d\u00ebshirojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Dhe, ju p\u00eblqen apo jo, ne tashm\u00eb i kemi kuptuar k\u00ebto d\u00ebshira dhe e kuptojm\u00eb shum\u00eb mir\u00eb se \u00e7far\u00eb po ndodh rreth nesh.\u201d<\/p>\n
Pyetja \u00ebsht\u00eb: si synojn\u00eb ta zgjidhin k\u00ebt\u00eb \u201cproblem t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt\u201d? Toni i deklarat\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb shqet\u00ebsues. Megjithat\u00eb, edhe n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast sinjalet jan\u00eb kontradiktore.<\/p>\n
Gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb ver\u00ebs, trupat e Minskut kan\u00eb zhvilluar st\u00ebrvitje t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme ushtarake, duke thirrur edhe rezervist\u00ebt. Ata jan\u00eb st\u00ebrvitur p\u00ebr t\u00eb luftuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb qiell t\u00eb mbushur me dron\u00eb, pik\u00ebrisht ajo q\u00eb nevojitet p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbijetuar n\u00eb fush\u00ebbetejat ukrainase, nd\u00ebrsa \u201cinspektimi i fundit i gatishm\u00ebris\u00eb operative\u201d u urdh\u00ebrua vet\u00ebm kat\u00ebr dit\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Ushtria bjelloruse nuk p\u00ebrb\u00ebn n\u00eb vetvete nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb madh. \u00cbsht\u00eb e vog\u00ebl dhe ka pak mjete moderne, por prej tre vitesh po fuqizohet vazhdimisht. Mes instruktor\u00ebve t\u00eb saj jan\u00eb edhe shum\u00eb veteran\u00eb t\u00eb grupit Wagner, t\u00eb d\u00ebrguar n\u00eb Bjellorusi pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb rebelimit t\u00eb Yevgeny Prigozhin.<\/p>\n
Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr nga favor\u00ebt q\u00eb Lukashenko i ka b\u00ebr\u00eb Putinit, duke ndihmuar n\u00eb zgjidhjen e nj\u00eb prej krizave m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira me t\u00eb cilat \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrballur Kremlini. Por m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishmi mbetet ai i shkurtit 2022, kur Lukashenko hapi territorin e vendit t\u00eb tij p\u00ebr ushtrin\u00eb ruse q\u00eb u nis drejt Kievit.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb at\u00eb operacion, trenat luajt\u00ebn nj\u00eb rol vendimtar, pasi u p\u00ebrdor\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb transportuar me shpejt\u00ebsi nj\u00eb num\u00ebr t\u00eb madh ushtar\u00ebsh dhe tankesh. Tani opozita bjelloruse po jep alarmin p\u00ebr punimet q\u00eb po zhvillohen p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur efikasitetin e rrjetit hekurudhor. Sipas saj, po dyfishohen qendrat e kontrollit, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb sistemi t\u00eb mund t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb funksionoj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb rast bombardimesh.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebto jan\u00eb elemente q\u00eb duket se p\u00ebrforcojn\u00eb shqet\u00ebsimet e sh\u00ebrbimeve sekrete ukrainase, t\u00eb ngritura edhe nga presidenti Volodymyr Zelensky, p\u00ebr mund\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb Kremlini t\u00eb nis\u00eb nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb t\u00eb re nga territori i Bjellorusis\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Sipas k\u00ebtij skenari, forcat ruse mund t\u00eb avancojn\u00eb drejt Chernihivit, me synimin p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u00e7ar\u00eb vij\u00ebn mbrojt\u00ebse dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb izoluar kryeqytetin ukrainas nga rajonet lindore t\u00eb Kharkivit dhe Sumyt.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb let\u00ebr, ky do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb makth p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn. Nj\u00eb manov\u00ebr shkat\u00ebrruese q\u00eb do t\u00eb godiste pik\u00ebrisht pik\u00ebn e dob\u00ebt t\u00eb Kievit: inferioritetin numerik t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb tij. Forcat ukrainase do t\u00eb detyroheshin t\u00eb menaxhonin nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr front lufte, n\u00eb nj\u00eb koh\u00eb kur nuk kan\u00eb m\u00eb rezerva t\u00eb mjaftueshme k\u00ebmb\u00ebsorie.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse analiza zgjerohet edhe te skenari i nj\u00eb provokimi rus kund\u00ebr republikave baltike, me q\u00ebllim testimin e kohezionit t\u00eb NATO-s \u2013 nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje q\u00eb, sipas disa burimeve, ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb qend\u00ebr t\u00eb misionit n\u00eb Mosk\u00eb t\u00eb drejtorit t\u00eb CIA-s, John Ratcliffe \u2013 at\u00ebher\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetja e Minskut duket e pashmangshme. Mjafton t\u00eb shihet harta p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar se Bjellorusia n\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb till\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore, n\u00eb mos e domosdoshme.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebta jan\u00eb faktor\u00ebt shqet\u00ebsues q\u00eb po diskutohen n\u00eb takimet e sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs per\u00ebndimore. Megjithat\u00eb, ato duhen peshuar p\u00ebrball\u00eb kompleksitetit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Lukashenko ka qen\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb i kujdessh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur p\u00ebrfshirjen e drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb t\u00eb Bjellorusis\u00eb n\u00eb konflikt. Prej muajsh ai ka v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb dispozicion t\u00eb Kremlinit rafinerit\u00eb e vendit, rezervat e karburantit dhe madje edhe furnizime ushqimore, p\u00ebr t\u00eb leht\u00ebsuar pasojat e d\u00ebmeve t\u00eb shkaktuara nga sulmet ukrainase.<\/p>\n
Por ai ka shmangur p\u00ebrplasjen e drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb, duke arritur madje, n\u00eb qershorin e kaluar, t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpres\u00eb lidhjet radio t\u00eb dron\u00ebve rus\u00eb pas ultimatumit t\u00eb Zelenskyt.<\/p>\n
Dhe jo vet\u00ebm kaq. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi i Minskut ka realizuar nj\u00eb afrim t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb me administrat\u00ebn Trump. Pavar\u00ebsisht kund\u00ebrshtimit t\u00eb Bashkimit Europian, ai ka arritur t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb heqjen e nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb sanksioneve n\u00eb k\u00ebmbim t\u00eb lirimit t\u00eb 500 t\u00eb burgosurve politik\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Madje, Lukashenko \u00ebsht\u00eb pranuar nga Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb edhe n\u00eb \u201cBordin e Paqes\u201d p\u00ebr Gaz\u00ebn, nd\u00ebrsa presidenti amerikan Donald Trump e ka cil\u00ebsuar at\u00eb si \u201cnj\u00eb lider t\u00eb respektuar\u201d.<\/p>\n
Me pak fjal\u00eb, udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi bjellorus mund ta v\u00ebr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie n\u00eb sh\u00ebrbim t\u00eb nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur zhvillime katastrofike. Ose mund t\u2019i n\u00ebnshtrohet edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb vullnetit t\u00eb Putinit.<\/p>\n
Vet\u00ebm tri jav\u00eb p\u00ebrpara zgjedhjeve dhe me mb\u00ebshtetjen brenda vendit t\u00eb goditur nga sulmet ukrainase, Putin nuk duket i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb refuzime: atij i duhet nj\u00eb zgjidhje e shpejt\u00eb p\u00ebr \u201cproblemin e p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt\u201d.\/La Repubblica<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
N\u00eb momentet vendimtare, Vladimir Putin e ka thirrur gjithmon\u00eb n\u00eb krah t\u00eb tij. \u00cbsht\u00eb i vetmi tek i cili mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet, sepse nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht nj\u00eb aleat, por nj\u00eb vasal: nuk mund t\u2019i thot\u00eb jo. Pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, n\u00eb klim\u00ebn e tensioneve dhe p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit t\u00eb sulmeve ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs, vizita e papritur e Aleksand\u00ebr […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98183"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98183\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}