Arm\u00ebpushimi i brisht\u00eb dy-javor SHBA-Iran pritet t\u00eb skadoj\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn, pa qart\u00ebsi n\u00ebse do t\u00eb zgjatet, nd\u00ebrsa tensionet jan\u00eb rritur s\u00ebrish.<\/p>\n
Raundi i par\u00eb i bisedimeve SHBA-Iran m\u00eb 11 prill p\u00ebrfundoi pa rezultat. Q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb, SHBA ka vendosur bllokad\u00eb detare ndaj anijeve t\u00eb lidhura me Iranin n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, Irani ka q\u00eblluar ndaj anijeve q\u00eb tentojn\u00eb t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb dhe t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn SHBA sekuestroi nj\u00eb anije iraniane. Teherani e quajti k\u00ebt\u00eb \u201cpirateri<\/em>\u201d dhe k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoi me hakmarrje, nd\u00ebrsa Trump paralajm\u00ebroi se do t\u00eb godas\u00eb urat dhe centralet iraniane n\u00ebse nuk arrihet marr\u00ebveshje.<\/p>\n T\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt po shk\u00ebmbejn\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime nd\u00ebrsa afati i arm\u00ebpushimit po afron.<\/p>\n Trump thot\u00eb se Irani ose do t\u00eb negocioj\u00eb, ose do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me pasoja t\u00eb r\u00ebnda. Ai ka konfirmuar se delegacioni amerikan synon t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb n\u00eb Islamabad.<\/p>\n Irani, nga ana tjet\u00ebr, k\u00ebmb\u00ebngul se nuk do t\u00eb negocioj\u00eb n\u00ebn presion. Zyrtar\u00eb iranian\u00eb kan\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se n\u00eb kushtet aktuale bisedimet \u201cnuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb pranueshme\u201d.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n Sipas analist\u00ebve, \u00e7\u00ebshtja kryesore \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebse SHBA do t\u00eb ul\u00eb presionin dhe n\u00ebse Irani do t\u00eb zbus\u00eb levat e tij t\u00eb presionit.<\/p>\n Ja kat\u00ebr skenar\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb:<\/p>\n Pakistani po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb disa dit\u00eb negociatash.<\/p>\n Nga pala amerikane pritet t\u00eb jen\u00eb Vance, Steve Witkoff dhe Jared Kushner. N\u00ebse Irani merr pjes\u00eb, delegacioni i tij pritet t\u00eb drejtohet s\u00ebrish nga Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.<\/p>\n Objektivi do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb mir\u00ebkuptim i p\u00ebrkohsh\u00ebm q\u00eb zgjat arm\u00ebpushimin dhe fiton koh\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb.<\/p>\n Por dallimet mbeten t\u00eb m\u00ebdha: programi b\u00ebrthamor, Hormuzi, sanksionet dhe asetet e ngrira.<\/p>\n Sipas analist\u00ebve, pa kompromise nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt nuk ka gjasa p\u00ebr marr\u00ebveshje reale.<\/p>\n Trump vazhdon t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb ndalimin total t\u00eb pasurimit t\u00eb uraniumit dhe dor\u00ebzimin e rezervave iraniane. Irani i ka refuzuar k\u00ebto k\u00ebrkesa.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, edhe pa p\u00ebrparim, pal\u00ebt mund t\u00eb bien dakord p\u00ebr nj\u00eb zgjatje t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohshme t\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimit.<\/p>\n Trump ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb pak e mundshme ta zgjas\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimin pa marr\u00ebveshje.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, analist\u00ebt thon\u00eb se nj\u00eb zgjatje n\u00eb minut\u00ebn e fundit nuk do t\u00eb ishte surpriz\u00eb, edhe n\u00ebse Irani nuk shkon n\u00eb Islamabad.<\/p>\n Por kjo do t\u00eb ishte vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb pauz\u00eb e brisht\u00eb, jo stabilitet i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm. Rreziku i keqllogaritjeve do t\u00eb mbetej i lart\u00eb.<\/p>\n Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb skenari m\u00eb i rreziksh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n Trump ka th\u00ebn\u00eb hapur se, n\u00ebse nuk ka marr\u00ebveshje, bombardimet mund t\u00eb rifillojn\u00eb. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, Ghalibaf ka l\u00ebn\u00eb t\u00eb kuptohet se Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb gati t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb \u201ckarta t\u00eb reja\u201d n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e betej\u00ebs.<\/p>\n Sipas analist\u00ebve, n\u00ebse arm\u00ebpushimi shembet, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i shpejt\u00eb dhe shum\u00eb i ashp\u00ebr, me pasoja p\u00ebr gjith\u00eb rajonin.<\/p>\n Al Jazeera, p\u00ebrgatiti n\u00eb shqip \u00a9LAPSI.AL\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n The post Lufta Iran-SHBA: Kat\u00ebr skenar\u00eb se \u00e7\u2019mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa bisedimet ngecin<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Arm\u00ebpushimi i brisht\u00eb dy-javor SHBA-Iran pritet t\u00eb skadoj\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn, pa qart\u00ebsi n\u00ebse do t\u00eb zgjatet, nd\u00ebrsa tensionet jan\u00eb rritur s\u00ebrish. Raundi i par\u00eb i bisedimeve SHBA-Iran m\u00eb 11 prill p\u00ebrfundoi pa rezultat. Q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb, SHBA ka vendosur bllokad\u00eb detare ndaj anijeve t\u00eb lidhura me Iranin n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, Irani ka q\u00eblluar ndaj anijeve […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83283"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83283\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83283"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\u00c7far\u00eb ka t\u00eb re nga t\u00eb dyja pal\u00ebt?\u00a0<\/h4>\n
Skenari 1: Bisedimet zhvillohen dhe arrijn\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohshme\u00a0<\/h4>\n
Skenari 2: Bisedimet mbyllen pa p\u00ebrparim, por me zgjatje t\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimit<\/h4>\n
Skenari 3: Nuk ka bisedime, por arm\u00ebpushimi zgjatet<\/h4>\n
Skenari 4: Bisedimet d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb dhe arm\u00ebpushimi skadon<\/h4>\n