N\u00eb koh\u00ebn kur situata e siguris\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb komplekse, Shtetet e Gjirit Persik po synojn\u00eb tubacione t\u00eb reja nafte p\u00ebr t\u00eb anashkaluar Hormuzin. Nj\u00eb opsion \u00ebsht\u00eb ringjallja e planeve t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra nga SHBA p\u00ebr nj\u00eb korridor ambicioz q\u00eb do t\u00eb shtrihej nga India, p\u00ebrmes Gjirit dhe m\u00eb pas n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, i quajtur IMEC.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi i kontrollit t\u00eb pakufizuar iranian mbi Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit po i shtyn vendet e Gjirit t\u00eb rishikojn\u00eb planet e kushtueshme p\u00ebr tubacionet q\u00eb e anashkalojn\u00eb at\u00eb, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb mund t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb eksportojn\u00eb naft\u00eb dhe gaz. Zyrtar\u00ebt dhe drejtuesit e industris\u00eb thon\u00eb se tubacionet e reja mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb e vetmja m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb zvog\u00ebluar ndjeshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e vazhdueshme t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Gjirit ndaj nd\u00ebrprerjeve n\u00eb ngushtic\u00eb, edhe pse projekte t\u00eb tilla do t\u00eb ishin t\u00eb kushtueshme, politikisht komplekse dhe do t\u00eb duheshin vite p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrfunduar.<\/p>\n
\u201cSituata e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb Gjirin Persik \u00ebsht\u00eb me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb komplekse. Grevat amerikane\u2013izraelite kund\u00ebr Iranit filluan ndjesh\u00ebm dhe duket se po vazhdojn\u00eb pa m\u00ebshir\u00eb. Ka pasur hakmarrje nga iranian\u00ebt, si kund\u00ebr sulmuesve ashtu edhe kund\u00ebr vendeve t\u00eb treta, vendeve t\u00eb GCC n\u00eb Gjirin Persik dhe disa sulme ndaj transportit. Pra, n\u00ebse jeni nj\u00eb operator transporti, nj\u00eb kapiten anijesh n\u00eb at\u00eb rajon, \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e nd\u00ebrlikuar ajo q\u00eb po ndodh dhe duhet t\u00eb kuptoni n\u00ebse mund t\u00eb l\u00ebvizni, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb q\u00ebndroni, dhe n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb ekonomikisht e zbatueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb pun\u00ebn tuaj\u201d.<\/p>\n
Konflikti aktual ka n\u00ebnvizuar vler\u00ebn strategjike t\u00eb tubacionit Lindje\u2013Per\u00ebndim prej 1,200 km t\u00eb Arabis\u00eb Saudite. I nd\u00ebrtuar n\u00eb vitet 1980 pas frik\u00ebs se \u201clufta e cisternave\u201d Iran\u2013Irak do ta mbyllte ngushtic\u00ebn, tani \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb litar ky\u00e7 shp\u00ebtimi, duke transportuar 7 milion\u00eb fu\u00e7i naft\u00eb n\u00eb dit\u00eb n\u00eb portin e Detit t\u00eb Kuq t\u00eb Yanbus\u00eb, duke anashkaluar t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht Hormuzin. Mbret\u00ebria po shqyrton se si mund t\u00eb eksportoj\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb nga 10.2 milion\u00eb fu\u00e7it\u00eb e prodhimit t\u00eb saj ditor p\u00ebrmes tubacionit, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebr uj\u00ebrat e kontrolluara nga Irani.<\/p>\n
Opsioni m\u00eb elastik nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb tubacion i vet\u00ebm alternativ, por nj\u00eb rrjet korridoresh. N\u00eb planin afatgjat\u00eb, \u00e7do tubacion i ri ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb formoj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb rrug\u00ebve tregtare p\u00ebrmes t\u00eb cilave mund t\u00eb rrjedh\u00eb nj\u00eb gam\u00eb m\u00eb e gjer\u00eb mallrash p\u00ebrtej naft\u00ebs dhe gazit.<\/p>\n
\u201cKompanit\u00eb e transportit detar dhe nd\u00ebrmarrjet e prodhimit t\u00eb naft\u00ebs jan\u00eb private dhe b\u00ebjn\u00eb biznes p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar para. P\u00ebr t\u00eb transportuar n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn duhet t\u00eb keni siguri. N\u00ebse rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb i lart\u00eb dhe kostot gjithashtu, ato kompani nuk do t\u00eb tregtojn\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb e domosdoshme q\u00eb aktor\u00ebt e shtetit, kompanit\u00eb e transportit, t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe gazit t\u00eb punojn\u00eb s\u00eb bashku, t\u00eb ndajn\u00eb informacione dhe praktikat m\u00eb t\u00eb mira, p\u00ebr t\u2019u siguruar q\u00eb tregjet t\u2019i p\u00ebrgjigjen asaj q\u00eb po ndodh\u201d.<\/p>\n
Propozimet p\u00ebr rrug\u00eb shum\u00ebvend\u00ebshe nga Iraku p\u00ebrmes Jordanis\u00eb, Siris\u00eb ose Turqis\u00eb do t\u00eb kushtonin 15\u201320 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb. Por rreziqet e siguris\u00eb p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb bombat e pashp\u00ebrthyera n\u00eb Irak dhe pranin\u00eb e vazhdueshme t\u00eb ISIS-it ose grupeve t\u00eb tjera militante. Tubacionet drejt porteve n\u00eb Oman do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballeshin me v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsin\u00eb e kalimit p\u00ebrmes shkret\u00ebtir\u00ebs dhe maleve shk\u00ebmbore. Portet n\u00eb Oman nuk jan\u00eb imune ndaj k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimeve iraniane; sulmet me dron\u00eb n\u00eb portin ky\u00e7 t\u00eb Salalah e detyruan at\u00eb t\u00eb mbyllej p\u00ebrkoh\u00ebsisht.<\/p>\n
Sfidat politike p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb se kush do ta operoj\u00eb tubacionin dhe do t\u00eb kontrolloj\u00eb rrjedh\u00ebn. Nj\u00eb rrjet tubacionesh do t\u2019u k\u00ebrkonte vendeve t\u00eb Gjirit t\u00eb braktisnin politikat individualiste dhe t\u00eb bashkoheshin.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb planin afatshkurt\u00ebr, opsionet m\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb zgjerimi i tubacionit Lindje\u2013Per\u00ebndim dhe rruga ekzistuese e Abu Dhabit p\u00ebr n\u00eb Fujairah. Arabia Saudite gjithashtu mund t\u00eb zhvilloj\u00eb terminale shtes\u00eb eksporti n\u00eb bregdetin e Detit t\u00eb Kuq, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb portin e uj\u00ebrave t\u00eb thella q\u00eb po nd\u00ebrtohet p\u00ebr projektin Neom.<\/p>\n
Lufta e SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit me Iranin dhe tensionet n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit kan\u00eb nd\u00ebrprer\u00eb rrjedhat rajonale t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, duke kontribuar n\u00eb shqet\u00ebsimet p\u00ebr furnizimin dhe presionin mbi \u00e7mimet globale. Q\u00eb nga marsi, Irani njoftoi kufizime n\u00eb lundrimin n\u00eb rrug\u00ebn ujore strategjike, duke paralajm\u00ebruar se mund t\u00eb synoj\u00eb anijet q\u00eb kalojn\u00eb pa koordinim.<\/p>\n
Rreth 20% e furnizimit global me naft\u00eb kalon n\u00ebp\u00ebr ngushtic\u00eb \u00e7do dit\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa pasiguria e shtuar ka rritur \u00e7mimet e naft\u00ebs si dhe kostot e transportit dhe sigurimit.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
N\u00eb koh\u00ebn kur situata e siguris\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb komplekse, Shtetet e Gjirit Persik po synojn\u00eb tubacione t\u00eb reja nafte p\u00ebr t\u00eb anashkaluar Hormuzin. Nj\u00eb opsion \u00ebsht\u00eb ringjallja e planeve t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra nga SHBA p\u00ebr nj\u00eb korridor ambicioz q\u00eb do t\u00eb shtrihej nga India, p\u00ebrmes Gjirit dhe m\u00eb pas n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, i quajtur IMEC. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81427"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81427\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}