Njoftimi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim dy-javor midis Iranit, Izraelit dhe Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara e ka pezulluar luft\u00ebn, pas 40 dit\u00ebsh sulmi intensiv dhe hakmarrje. Si gjithmon\u00eb, civil\u00ebt kan\u00eb mbajtur pesh\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb luft\u00ebs. Mij\u00ebra jan\u00eb vrar\u00eb ose plagosur dhe shum\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvendosur. Sht\u00ebpit\u00eb, infrastruktura dhe mjetet e jetes\u00ebs jan\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar \u2013 n\u00eb Iran, n\u00eb Izrael dhe n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb rajonin.<\/p>\n
Pavar\u00ebsisht arm\u00ebpushimit me Iranin, Izraeli ka vazhduar fushat\u00ebn e tij ushtarake kund\u00ebr Hezbollahut t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur nga Irani n\u00eb Liban. Vet\u00ebm disa or\u00eb pasi u shpall arm\u00ebpushimi, Izraeli kreu sulmet e tij m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnda ndaj fqinjit t\u00eb tij q\u00eb kur konflikti me Hezbollahun u intensifikua muajin e kaluar.<\/p>\n
Lufta nuk ka fitues. Por konflikti riform\u00ebson politik\u00ebn globale. Ajo ndikon n\u00eb aleanca, tregjet e energjis\u00eb dhe ndikimin global. Shikimi i luft\u00ebs me Iranin p\u00ebrmes k\u00ebsaj lente tregon se si pushteti po zhvendoset p\u00ebrtej Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme.<\/p>\n
Irani ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb qend\u00ebr t\u00eb konfliktit. Q\u00eb nga 28 shkurti, SHBA dhe Izraeli kan\u00eb kryer sulme t\u00eb r\u00ebnda ajrore kund\u00ebr objektivave ushtarake dhe infrastruktur\u00ebs energjetike. M\u00eb shum\u00eb se 3,600 njer\u00ebz jan\u00eb vrar\u00eb n\u00eb Iran, sipas grupit amerikan t\u00eb t\u00eb drejtave HRANA. Ky num\u00ebr p\u00ebrfshin udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsin suprem Ayatollah Ali Khamenei dhe shum\u00eb figura t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb larta politike dhe ushtarake, por edhe 165 njer\u00ebz n\u00eb nj\u00eb shkoll\u00eb vajzash, shumica e tyre f\u00ebmij\u00eb. Pavar\u00ebsisht humbjes s\u00eb udh\u00ebheqjes s\u00eb tij, thelbi i sistemit politik t\u00eb Iranit mbetet i paprekur.<\/p>\n
\u201cNuk ka l\u00ebvizje drejt ndryshimit t\u00eb regjimit\u201d, tha p\u00ebr DW analisti politik amerikan dhe presidenti i Grupit Euroazi Ian Bremmer. \u201cAsnj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje drejt shp\u00ebtimit t\u00eb popullit iranian, q\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e para t\u00eb konfliktit, Presidenti Trump thoshte se ishte nj\u00eb q\u00ebllim.\u201d<\/p>\n
Si p\u00ebrgjigje, regjimi i Iranit nd\u00ebrmori nj\u00eb hap me rrezik t\u00eb lart\u00eb. Ai bllokoi n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb efektive ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, duke lejuar vet\u00ebm disa vende ta p\u00ebrdornin at\u00eb. Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb rripi i ngusht\u00eb i ujit p\u00ebrmes t\u00eb cilit kalojn\u00eb rreth nj\u00eb e pesta e furnizimeve globale t\u00eb naft\u00ebs. L\u00ebvizja rriti \u00e7mimet globale t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe rriti presionin mbi SHBA-n\u00eb dhe aleat\u00ebt e saj.<\/p>\n
Strategjia u shp\u00ebrblye. Teherani siguroi nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim pa pranuar humbjen. Qeveria mund ta paraqes\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimin si prov\u00eb se i rezistoi Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara dhe t\u00eb gjith\u00eb fuqis\u00eb s\u00eb tyre ushtarake. Presidenti amerikan Donald Trump ka pranuar planin me 10 pika t\u00eb Iranit si baz\u00eb p\u00ebr bisedime. Regjimi i Iranit ka mbijetuar dhe ka bler\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrpjekur t\u00eb form\u00ebsoj\u00eb faz\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr me kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb favorshme.<\/p>\n
Presidenti Trump e ka quajtur rezultatin nj\u00eb \u201cfitore totale dhe t\u00eb plot\u00eb\u201d. Shum\u00eb analist\u00eb nuk pajtohen.<\/p>\n
\u201cAta kan\u00eb arritur disa q\u00ebllime,\u201d tha Ian Bremmer p\u00ebr DW. \u201cN\u00ebse shikoni d\u00ebmin e shkaktuar n\u00eb aft\u00ebsit\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb Iranit, aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e tyre balistike konvencionale dhe aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e tyre detare, pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e k\u00ebsaj \u00ebsht\u00eb degraduar r\u00ebnd\u00eb.\u201d<\/p>\n
Pjes\u00eb t\u00eb programit t\u00eb saj b\u00ebrthamor jan\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar r\u00ebnd\u00eb, gjithashtu. Kjo ka r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi p\u00ebr Uashingtonin, i cili thot\u00eb se ndalimi i Iranit nga marrja e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore ishte nj\u00eb q\u00ebllim ky\u00e7.<\/p>\n
Por edhe SHBA ka p\u00ebsuar humbje. Sulmet iraniane d\u00ebmtuan ose shkat\u00ebrruan sistemet e radar\u00ebve dhe avion\u00ebt me vler\u00eb miliarda dollar\u00eb. Reputacioni i tij si mbrojt\u00ebs i aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb Gjirit \u00ebsht\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar seriozisht, pasi Irani goditi fqinj\u00ebt e tij \u2013 jo vet\u00ebm bazat amerikane, por edhe infrastruktur\u00ebn kryesore. Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet me Evrop\u00ebn dhe NATO-n u tensionuan nga Uashingtoni q\u00eb nisi luft\u00ebn pa u konsultuar me aleat\u00ebt e tij. Arm\u00ebpushimi ka ndaluar sulmet ndaj forcave amerikane dhe tani p\u00ebr tani ka zvog\u00ebluar rrezikun e nj\u00eb lufte m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb rajonale, nj\u00eb prioritet kryesor i SHBA-s\u00eb. Ngushtica e Hormuzit pritet t\u00eb rihapet, duke leht\u00ebsuar presionin mbi tregjet e naft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Uashingtoni do t\u00eb takohet me Iranin p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb tryez\u00ebn e bisedimeve, ku ata ishin n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb luft\u00ebs. Dhe ajo nuk e ka riformuar sjelljen e Iranit n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn q\u00eb ka k\u00ebrkuar, nd\u00ebrsa kostoja p\u00ebr reputacionin e tij nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb par\u00eb.\/DW<\/p>\n
The post Analiza\/ Lufta e Iranit: Kush fitoi terren dhe kush humbi ndikimin<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Njoftimi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim dy-javor midis Iranit, Izraelit dhe Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara e ka pezulluar luft\u00ebn, pas 40 dit\u00ebsh sulmi intensiv dhe hakmarrje. Si gjithmon\u00eb, civil\u00ebt kan\u00eb mbajtur pesh\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb luft\u00ebs. Mij\u00ebra jan\u00eb vrar\u00eb ose plagosur dhe shum\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvendosur. Sht\u00ebpit\u00eb, infrastruktura dhe mjetet e jetes\u00ebs jan\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar \u2013 n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80885\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}