N\u00eb or\u00ebt pasi SHBA-t\u00eb dhe Izraeli filluan t\u00eb kryenin sulme t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebta ndaj Iranit m\u00eb 28 shkurt, trafiku ajror p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb rrug\u00ebve normalisht t\u00eb ngarkuara lindje-per\u00ebndim u detyrua t\u00eb futej n\u00eb nj\u00eb korridor t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb hap\u00ebsinor mbi Kaukazin e Jugut.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb zhvillim i ri n\u00eb qiell ka koh\u00eb q\u00eb po zhvillohet n\u00eb tok\u00eb. Vitet e fundit, rajoni ka t\u00ebrhequr v\u00ebmendjen si nj\u00eb lidhje ky\u00e7e n\u00eb Rrug\u00ebn Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb Transportit Trans-Kaspik. I njohur gjithashtu si Korridori i Mes\u00ebm, ai sh\u00ebrben p\u00ebr t\u00eb lidhur Evrop\u00ebn dhe Kin\u00ebn, duke anashkaluar Iranin dhe Rusin\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet Azis\u00eb Qendrore dhe Kaukazit Jugor.<\/p>\n
\u201cP\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb rajon, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi brenda k\u00ebsaj krize\u201d, thot\u00eb Richard Giragosian, drejtor i Qendr\u00ebs s\u00eb Studimeve Rajonale n\u00eb Jerevan, Armeni. \u201cKorridori i Mes\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb tani e vetmja rrug\u00eb q\u00eb ka mbetur n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb, e vetmja rrug\u00eb e q\u00ebndrueshme p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket tregtis\u00eb dhe transportit.\u201d<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, nj\u00eb arterie e madhe detare p\u00ebrmes Ngushtic\u00ebs Bab el-Mandeb dhe Detit t\u00eb Kuq, e cila transporton 12% t\u00eb tregtis\u00eb bot\u00ebrore, \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrprer\u00eb vazhdimisht nga milicia Huthi e lidhur me Iranin n\u00eb Jemen. Nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb alternative rreth Kepit t\u00eb Shpres\u00ebs s\u00eb Mir\u00eb n\u00eb Afrik\u00ebn e Jugut i shton m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 10 dit\u00eb rrug\u00ebs Azi-Evrop\u00eb .<\/p>\n
Korridori i Mes\u00ebm \u2014 rruga m\u00eb e shkurt\u00ebr gjeografike midis Evrop\u00ebs dhe Kin\u00ebs \u2014 synon t\u00eb l\u00ebviz\u00eb mallrat kineze s\u00eb bashku me mineralet dhe produktet energjetike kritike nga Azia Qendrore n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb. Si BE-ja ashtu edhe Kina kan\u00eb premtuar tashm\u00eb miliarda dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar portet, hekurudhat dhe rrug\u00ebt p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj rruge.<\/p>\n
V\u00ebllimet e ngarkesave p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb korridorit jan\u00eb kat\u00ebrfishuar q\u00eb nga viti 2022, viti kur Rusia nisi pushtimin e plot\u00eb t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs. Edhe pse ende transporton vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl t\u00eb tregtis\u00eb Evrop\u00eb-Azi, Banka Bot\u00ebrore vler\u00ebson se v\u00ebllimet tregtare mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb total prej 11 milion\u00eb ton\u00ebsh deri n\u00eb vitin 2030.<\/p>\n
Edhe p\u00ebrtej konfliktit aktual, Korridori i Mes\u00ebm ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb vrull n\u00eb vitet e ardhshme.<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00eb planin afatmes\u00ebm dhe afatgjat\u00eb, Kaukazi Jugor dhe Korridori i Mes\u00ebm do t\u00eb jen\u00eb nj\u00eb nga rrug\u00ebt kryesore q\u00eb lidhin BE-n\u00eb dhe Kin\u00ebn s\u00eb bashku me rrug\u00ebt detare\u201d, thot\u00eb Kornely Kakachia, nj\u00eb profesor i politik\u00ebs n\u00eb Tbilisi. P\u00ebr Gjeorgjin\u00eb, Azerbajxhanin dhe Armenin\u00eb, ky ndryshim do t\u00eb rriste rolin e tyre si shtete t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme tranziti.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr Azerbajxhanin e pasur me energji, lufta me Iranin mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb gjithashtu p\u00ebrfitime afatshkurtra. \u00c7mimet m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb naft\u00ebs do t\u00eb thoshin nj\u00eb fitim t\u00eb papritur nga eksportet p\u00ebr vendin, t\u00eb cilat analist\u00ebt kan\u00eb vler\u00ebsuar se mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb deri n\u00eb 500 deri n\u00eb 600 milion\u00eb dollar\u00eb shtes\u00eb n\u00eb muaj p\u00ebr vendin.<\/p>\n
Hikmet Hajiyev, k\u00ebshilltari kryesor i politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme i presidentit t\u00eb Azerbajxhanit, Ilham Aliyev, i tha Euronews se Azerbajxhani po rritte d\u00ebrgesat e gazit natyror p\u00ebr t\u00eb kompensuar d\u00ebrgesat nga Gjiri Persik mes luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Iran. Evropa aktualisht merr rreth 4% t\u00eb gazit t\u00eb saj natyror nga Azerbajxhani, ekuivalent me 12.8 miliard\u00eb metra kub gaz. Kjo sasi \u00ebsht\u00eb planifikuar t\u00eb rritet n\u00eb 20 miliard\u00eb metra kub deri n\u00eb vitin 2027.<\/p>\n
Por lufta \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu e d\u00ebmshme p\u00ebr biznesin. \u201cQ\u00eb Korridori i Mes\u00ebm t\u00eb ket\u00eb sukses, ai ka nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr stabilitet nga Kina n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian dhe p\u00ebrreth Kaukazit t\u00eb Jugut\u201d, thot\u00eb Kakachia.<\/p>\n
Gjeorgjia, Azerbajxhani dhe Armenia kan\u00eb mbajtur t\u00eb gjitha nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim neutral n\u00eb konflikt. Por zyrtar\u00ebt iranian\u00eb e kan\u00eb kritikuar prej koh\u00ebsh Azerbajxhanin p\u00ebr lidhjet e tij t\u00eb forta ekonomike me Izraelin.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2025, Izraeli mori 46.4% t\u00eb naft\u00ebs s\u00eb tij nga Azerbajxhani p\u00ebrmes tubacionit Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC). N\u00eb k\u00ebmbim, Azerbajxhani merr shumic\u00ebn e armatimeve t\u00eb tij ushtarake nga Izraeli.<\/p>\n
\u201cLidhjet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb thella t\u00eb Azerbajxhanit me Izraelin jan\u00eb par\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb si nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim nga pala iraniane\u201d, thot\u00eb Mahammad Mammadov, bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtor k\u00ebrkimor n\u00eb Qendr\u00ebn Topchubashov n\u00eb Baku. \u201cPor nga ana tjet\u00ebr, marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet Azerbajxhan-Iran jan\u00eb thelluar vitet e fundit. Pal\u00ebt po p\u00ebrpiqeshin t\u00eb ndaheshin n\u00eb ndarje.\u201d<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi u qet\u00ebsua p\u00ebrfundimisht pas nj\u00eb telefonate t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb midis udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsve t\u00eb Iranit dhe Azerbajxhanit. Megjithat\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa \u201cmarr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet jan\u00eb rikthyer n\u00eb normalitet, incidenti krijoi shum\u00eb pasiguri\u201d, thot\u00eb Mammadov. Zyrtar\u00ebt azerbajxhanas pretenduan gjithashtu se kishin penguar p\u00ebrpjekjet e sabotimit nga Garda Islamike Revolucionare e Iranit (IRGC). Nd\u00ebr objektivat e dyshuar ishin tubacioni BTC dhe ambasada izraelite n\u00eb Azerbajxhan.<\/p>\n
E r\u00ebn\u00eb dakord si pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje paqeje t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuar nga Trump midis Armenis\u00eb dhe Azerbajxhanit gushtin e kaluar, ajo parashikon nj\u00eb korridor rrugor dhe hekurudhor prej 43 kilometrash p\u00ebrmes Armenis\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb lidh\u00eb Azerbajxhanin me enklav\u00ebn e saj, Nakh\u00e7ivanin, dhe Turqin\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Duke rihapur kufirin midis Armenis\u00eb dhe Azerbajxhanit \u2014 i mbyllur p\u00ebr dekada t\u00eb t\u00ebra p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb konfliktit t\u00eb vendeve mbi Nagorno-Karabakun \u2014 TRIPP do t\u00eb krijonte nj\u00eb korridor t\u00eb ri logjistik p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb rrug\u00ebve ekzistuese q\u00eb kalojn\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebr Azerbajxhan dhe Gjeorgji.<\/p>\n
Shtetet e Bashkuara, t\u00eb cilat e shohin TRIPP-in si nj\u00eb zinxhir furnizimi p\u00ebr minerale kritike, e kan\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur fuqish\u00ebm projektin . Ai supozohet t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtohet dhe menaxhohet nga nj\u00eb konsorcium i udh\u00ebhequr nga SHBA-t\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Por Irani ka qen\u00eb skeptik ndaj p\u00ebrfshirjes s\u00eb Uashingtonit n\u00eb projekt, i cili do t\u00eb zhvillohet menj\u00ebher\u00eb pran\u00eb kufirit t\u00eb Armenis\u00eb me Iranin. Ver\u00ebn e kaluar, nj\u00eb k\u00ebshilltar i ish-udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit suprem Ali Khamenei, shkoi aq larg sa tha se rruga do t\u00eb ishte \u201cvarri i mercenar\u00ebve t\u00eb Donald Trump\u201d.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, k\u00ebto shqet\u00ebsime nuk duhen ekzagjeruar, thot\u00eb Giragosian, duke theksuar se \u201cn\u00eb terma ushtarak\u00eb, nuk ka ende asgj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb synuar\u201d. Nd\u00ebrtimi i TRIPP nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb planifikuar t\u00eb filloj\u00eb deri n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2026.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb fund t\u00eb fundit, thot\u00eb Kakachia, Kaukazi Jugor ka nj\u00eb interes t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb ruajtjen e paqes dhe siguris\u00eb n\u00eb rajonin e gjer\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Kryesori midis atyre q\u00eb k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb stabilitet \u00ebsht\u00eb Azerbajxhani. Sipas Mammadov, \u201cAzerbajxhani nuk d\u00ebshiron q\u00eb Irani t\u00eb shembet \u2013 ose q\u00eb kjo luft\u00eb t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb m\u00eb gjat\u00eb \u2013 sepse kjo e anon ekuilibrin n\u00eb favor t\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb pasiguris\u00eb dhe llogaritjeve t\u00eb gabuara\u201d.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb kolaps do t\u00eb \u201chapte kutin\u00eb e Pandor\u00ebs\u201d \u2013 duke shkaktuar paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri ekonomike dhe potencialisht nj\u00eb fluks refugjat\u00ebsh nga nj\u00eb vend ku aktualisht jetojn\u00eb mbi 20 milion\u00eb azer\u00eb etnik\u00eb .<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, argumenton Mammadov, skenari m\u00eb i favorsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr Bakun do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb Iran i dob\u00ebsuar q\u00eb megjithat\u00eb mbetet n\u00ebn regjimin e tij aktual teokratik. P\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb q\u00eb Teherani shihet si nj\u00eb shtet i p\u00ebrjashtuar, Azerbajxhani ruan vler\u00ebn e tij gjeopolitike dhe ekonomike si nj\u00eb lidhje e q\u00ebndrueshme midis Lindjes dhe Per\u00ebndimit.\/DW<\/p>\n
The post Lufta me Iranin rrit r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb strategjike t\u00eb Kaukazit Jugor<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" N\u00eb or\u00ebt pasi SHBA-t\u00eb dhe Izraeli filluan t\u00eb kryenin sulme t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebta ndaj Iranit m\u00eb 28 shkurt, trafiku ajror p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb rrug\u00ebve normalisht t\u00eb ngarkuara lindje-per\u00ebndim u detyrua t\u00eb futej n\u00eb nj\u00eb korridor t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb hap\u00ebsinor mbi Kaukazin e Jugut. Nj\u00eb zhvillim i ri n\u00eb qiell ka koh\u00eb q\u00eb po zhvillohet n\u00eb tok\u00eb. Vitet e fundit, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78288\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}