\u00c7mimi\u00a0 i produkteve kryesore t\u00eb naft\u00ebs t\u00eb konsumuara n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, benzina dhe gazoili, \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar nga rreth 750 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr ton para nisjes s\u00eb luft\u00ebs s\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit kund\u00ebr Iranit, n\u00eb 1430 dollar\u00eb t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn m\u00eb 23 mars.<\/p>\n
Me nj\u00eb rritje prej 48%, kostoja e karburatit \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb kok\u00eb\u00e7arje e madhe shtes\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjitha bizneset dhe konsumator\u00ebt. Duke marr\u00eb parasysh se Shqip\u00ebria importoi 741 mij\u00eb ton\u00eb karburante gjat\u00eb vitit 2025, t\u00eb cilat, para lufte kushtonin af\u00ebrsisht 555 milion\u00eb dollar\u00eb nd\u00ebrsa me \u00e7mimin aktual mund t\u00eb kushtojn\u00eb pothuajse 1.1 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb, kostoja e p\u00ebrgjithshme e kriz\u00ebs p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb shqiptare mundet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb leht\u00ebsisht n\u00eb gjysm\u00eb miliardi dollar\u00eb ose rreth 400 milion\u00eb euro, n\u00eb rast se kriza zgjat nj\u00eb vit t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr e barazvlefshme me af\u00ebrsisht 1.4 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto dhe, n\u00ebse ky do t\u00eb jet\u00eb realiteti, rritja ekonomike e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb vit nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb 3.6 p\u00ebr qind si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikimi i Fondit Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, por do t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00eb 2.2 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb till\u00eb, jo vet\u00ebm konsumator\u00ebve dhe bizneseve, por edhe qeveris\u00eb do t\u2019i duhet t\u00eb marr\u00eb masa shtes\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb menaxhuar deficitin e papritur buxhetor, ose do t\u00eb detyrohet t\u00eb rris\u00eb borxhin publik. Qeveria ka parashikuar deficit buxhetor prej 64 miliard\u00eb lek\u00ebsh, ose 2.3% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb dhe, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb respektoj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebrball\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave n\u00eb r\u00ebnia e rimit t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike, at\u00ebher\u00eb do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb kryej\u00eb shkurtime shpenzimesh. Alternativa, mbajtja e shpenzimeve t\u00eb larta p\u00ebrkundrejt t\u00eb ardhurave m\u00eb t\u00eb pakta, do t\u00eb thot\u00eb q\u00eb qeveria do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb marr\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb borxh publik, gj\u00eb q\u00eb p\u00ebrkthehet n\u00eb interesa m\u00eb t\u00eb larta dhe kosto m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb gjithashtu.<\/p>\n
Gjithsesi, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb llogaritje shum\u00eb e p\u00ebrcipt\u00eb dhe nuk merr parasysh se ekonomia ndikohet nga shum\u00eb faktor\u00eb. Nj\u00eb prej faktor\u00ebve, fjala vjen, \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb rreshjeve t\u00eb shiut dhe rrjedhimisht, prodhimit t\u00eb energjis\u00eb nga hidrocentralet gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti, Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb mund t\u2019i duhet t\u00eb importoj\u00eb sasi m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha energjie p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbuluar konsumin, me pasoja m\u00eb t\u00eb larta ekonomike, ose mundet q\u00eb, n\u00ebse shirat jan\u00eb t\u00eb bollsh\u00ebm, t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitoj\u00eb di\u00e7ka nga shitja e tepricave t\u00eb energjis\u00eb elektrike.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, kostoja m\u00eb e lart\u00eb e naft\u00ebs me gjasa do t\u00eb shoq\u00ebrohet me kosto m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha \u00e7mimeve dhe me ngadal\u00ebsim t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb, pra me efekte indirekte shtes\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, rritja e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb karburanteve do t\u00eb thot\u00eb nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht r\u00ebnie e konsumit, sepse k\u00ebrkesa nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht inelastike dhe shum\u00eb qytetar\u00eb mund t\u00eb zgjedhin t\u00eb udh\u00ebtojn\u00eb m\u00eb pak ose t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorin transportin publik, gj\u00eb q\u00eb konvertohet n\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb konsumit, r\u00ebnie t\u00eb importeve dhe r\u00ebnie t\u00eb kostos shtes\u00eb t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Lajmi kryesor \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb kriza me gjasa nuk do t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb shum\u00eb dhe tregjet e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve t\u00eb para dhe t\u00eb aksioneve po v\u00ebn\u00eb bast se ajo mund t\u00eb zgjidhet brenda pak jav\u00ebsh me pak\u00ebsimin e bombardimeve amerikane dhe me rikthimin gradual t\u00eb siguris\u00eb s\u00eb lundrimit n\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit.<\/p>\n
Lajmi tjet\u00ebr i vlefsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr shqiptar\u00ebt \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa kriza e naft\u00ebs ka nj\u00eb kosto reale dhe t\u00eb prekshme, kjo nuk ngjan aq e lart\u00eb se sa kostoja e zakonshme e keqqeverisjes.<\/p>\n
Buxheti i shtetit parashikon t\u00eb shpenzoj\u00eb 887 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, shif\u00ebr kjo e barabart\u00eb me gati 8.9 miliard\u00eb euro. Afro 1.4 miliard\u00eb euro do t\u00eb shkojn\u00eb p\u00ebr pagat dhe sigurimet shoq\u00ebrore t\u00eb 185 mij\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarve n\u00eb sektorin publik, eficenca e t\u00eb cil\u00ebve n\u00eb pun\u00eb me siguri shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb mund t\u00eb thuhet se \u00ebsht\u00eb negative.<\/p>\n
Numri i t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarve \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit, duksh\u00ebm p\u00ebr efekt elektoral, me kosto t\u00eb konsiderueshme. Po k\u00ebshtu, pagat n\u00eb sektorin publik u rrit\u00ebn para zgjedhjeve me nj\u00eb norm\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb se sa rritja ekonomike. P\u00ebr shembull, n\u00eb vitin 2023, pagat n\u00eb sektorin publik kushtuan 100 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb ose 4.2% e Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto, nd\u00ebrsa k\u00ebt\u00eb vit pritet t\u00eb kushtojn\u00eb 140 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb ose 5% e Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto.<\/p>\n
Me pak fjal\u00eb, kostoja e shtimit t\u00eb patronazhist\u00ebve p\u00ebr efekt elektoral na kushton \u00e7do vit shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr nga sa na kushton kriza e naft\u00ebs. Pa folur m\u00eb tutje p\u00ebr koston e manipulimit sistemik t\u00eb prokurimeve publike n\u00eb rrug\u00eb, q\u00eb u pa te dosja e ish-z\u00ebvend\u00ebskryeministres Belinda Balluku, ku tender\u00eb me vler\u00eb qindramilion\u00eb euro rezultuan t\u00eb manipuluar n\u00eb kurriz t\u00eb taksapaguesve. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst, nd\u00ebrsa kriza e naft\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb di\u00e7ka p\u00ebrball\u00eb s\u00eb cil\u00ebs shqiptari nuk ka \u00e7far\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb ve\u00e7se t\u00eb paguaj\u00eb koston q\u00eb i bie detyrimisht t\u00eb paguaj\u00eb, koston e keqqeverisjes e ka vet\u00eb n\u00eb dor\u00eb ta luftoj\u00eb.\/BIRN<\/p>\n
The post Kush po na kushton m\u00eb shum\u00eb: Kriza e naft\u00ebs apo keqqeverisja e vendit?<\/a> appeared first on GIJOTINA<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7mimi\u00a0 i produkteve kryesore t\u00eb naft\u00ebs t\u00eb konsumuara n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, benzina dhe gazoili, \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar nga rreth 750 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr ton para nisjes s\u00eb luft\u00ebs s\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit kund\u00ebr Iranit, n\u00eb 1430 dollar\u00eb t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn m\u00eb 23 mars. Me nj\u00eb rritje prej 48%, kostoja e karburatit \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb kok\u00eb\u00e7arje e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77790"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77790\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}