{"id":75949,"date":"2026-03-11T21:03:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T21:03:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/03\/11\/5-skenaret-si-dhe-kur-do-te-perfundoje-lufta-ne-lindjen-e-mesme\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T21:03:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T21:03:11","slug":"5-skenaret-si-dhe-kur-do-te-perfundoje-lufta-ne-lindjen-e-mesme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/03\/11\/5-skenaret-si-dhe-kur-do-te-perfundoje-lufta-ne-lindjen-e-mesme\/","title":{"rendered":"5 skenar\u00ebt\/ Si dhe kur do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb lufta n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mesazhet kontradiktore t\u00eb Trump po shqet\u00ebsojn\u00eb aleat\u00ebt dhe tregjet, pasi t\u00eb gjith\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb se si, dhe kur do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb kjo luft\u00eb e vazhdueshme me Iranin. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo pasiguri po intensifikon gjithashtu presionet ekonomike brenda SHBA-s\u00eb, duke rritur kostot politike p\u00ebr presidentin e SHBA-s\u00eb p\u00ebrpara zgjedhjeve t\u00eb mesit t\u00eb mandatit n\u00eb n\u00ebntorin e ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vet\u00eb Trump ka d\u00ebrguar nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb sinjalesh kontradiktore. N\u00eb nj\u00eb fjalim t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn, ai tha se SHBA-t\u00eb e kan\u00eb fituar tashm\u00eb luft\u00ebn, \u201cpor nuk kemi fituar mjaftuesh\u00ebm\u201d. Disa or\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb me CBS News, ai kishte deklaruar se lufta \u201cpothuajse ka mbaruar\u201d.<\/span>
\nMes nj\u00eb klime t\u00eb till\u00eb paqart\u00ebsie, agjencia e lajmeve \u201cAxios\u201d ka paraqitur 5 skenar\u00eb se si mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb konflikti.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. Arm\u00ebpushim dhe marr\u00ebveshje e re b\u00ebrthamore<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb fund i konfliktit, i shoq\u00ebruar me nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje mbi programin b\u00ebrthamor t\u00eb Iranit, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga skenar\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb. \u00c7montimi i programit b\u00ebrthamor iranian \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb q\u00ebllim ky\u00e7 i Trump. Disa dit\u00eb para se t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthente lufta, SHBA-t\u00eb dhe Irani kishin zhvilluar 3 raunde negociatash indirekte. T\u00eb d\u00ebrguarit e Trump p\u00ebrfundimisht arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se Teherani nuk ishte realisht gati p\u00ebr nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje. <\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, presidenti amerikan tha n\u00eb Fox News t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn se rifillimi i bisedimeve \u201c\u00ebsht\u00eb i mundur\u201d, megjith\u00ebse shprehu zhg\u00ebnjim p\u00ebr zgjedhjen e Mojtaba Khameneit si pasardh\u00ebs i udh\u00ebheqjes s\u00eb vendit. <\/span>Kujtoni se pak para se t\u00eb fillonin sulmet, nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsit oman\u00eb kishin deklaruar se Irani kishte r\u00ebn\u00eb dakord t\u00eb mos grumbullonte uranium t\u00eb pasuruar.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. \u201cModeli Venezuelan\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump e ka quajtur Venezuel\u00ebn nj\u00eb \u201cmodel\u201d. Me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, \u201crr\u00ebzimin\u201d e Nicolas Maduros nga pushteti dhe marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnien e pun\u00ebs me pasardh\u00ebsen e tij, Delcy Rodriguez. A mund t\u00eb zbatohet nj\u00eb \u201cmodel\u201d i till\u00eb edhe n\u00eb Teheran? Presidenti amerikan ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se beson q\u00eb zgjedhja e Mojtaba Khameneit p\u00ebr t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr Iranin ishte nj\u00eb \u201cgabim i madh\u201d. <\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, analist\u00ebt theksojn\u00eb se sistemi politik i Republik\u00ebs Islamike t\u00eb Iranit \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb kompleks dhe m\u00eb elastik se ai i Venezuel\u00ebs, pasi ka mbijetuar p\u00ebr 47 vjet pavar\u00ebsisht sanksioneve, luft\u00ebrave dhe kryengritjeve t\u00eb brendshme, duke krijuar rrjete t\u00eb pushtetit ushtarak, fetar dhe politik q\u00eb nuk varen vet\u00ebm nga nj\u00eb person.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. Kryengritje popullore dhe r\u00ebnie e regjimit iranian<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Mund\u00ebsia e r\u00ebnies s\u00eb brendshme t\u00eb regjimit nuk konsiderohet e pap\u00ebrfillshme. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi Suprem Ajatollah Ali Khamenei ka vdekur, ekonomia \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb kriz\u00eb t\u00eb thell\u00eb dhe vendi ka par\u00eb protestat m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha antiqeveritare q\u00eb nga Revolucioni Islamik i vitit 1979. <\/span><\/p>\n

Kryeministri i Izraelit i ka paraqitur sulmet kund\u00ebr Iranit si nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb krijuar \u201ckushte q\u00eb populli i guximsh\u00ebm iranian t\u00eb marr\u00eb fatin e tij n\u00eb duart e veta\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, opozita iraniane mbetet e fragmentuar dhe i mungon lidershipi apo pushteti i organizuar brenda vendit. Trash\u00ebgimtari i fronit n\u00eb m\u00ebrgim, Reza Pahlavi, \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebr figurat m\u00eb t\u00eb shquara, por Trump e ka minimizuar ndikimin e tij, duke v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb dukje se ai nuk ka jetuar n\u00eb Iran p\u00ebr gati 5 dekada. Forcat kurde t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetura nga Izraeli teorikisht mund t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje n\u00eb terren, por ky skenar mbart rreziqe serioze, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e zhytjes s\u00eb vendit n\u00eb luft\u00eb civile.<\/span><\/p>\n

4. Nj\u00eb operacion i forcave speciale<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ky skenar parashikon nj\u00eb operacion t\u00eb forcave speciale amerikane dhe izraelite n\u00eb tok\u00ebn iraniane p\u00ebr t\u00eb kapur dhe\/ose shkat\u00ebrruar rezervat e uraniumit t\u00eb pasuruar shum\u00eb t\u00eb Iranit. <\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast, lufta nuk do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundonte p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje politike, por p\u00ebrmes eliminimit fizik t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimit b\u00ebrthamor. Operacioni do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonte vendosjen e trupave n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u aksesuar dhe t\u00eb gjer\u00eb q\u00eb vazhdon t\u00eb l\u00ebshoj\u00eb raketa balistike, gj\u00eb q\u00eb rrit ndjesh\u00ebm rreziqet.<\/span><\/p>\n

5. Deklarata e fitores dhe t\u00ebrheqjes<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Skenari i fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu m\u00eb i thjeshti politikisht: Trump shpall veten fitues dhe t\u00ebrheq forcat amerikane. N\u00eb nj\u00eb rast t\u00eb till\u00eb, presidenti amerikan mund t\u00eb thot\u00eb se Irani \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar ushtarakisht dhe ta paraqes\u00eb operacionin si nj\u00eb sukses historik, pavar\u00ebsisht n\u00ebse kan\u00eb ndodhur ndryshime politike n\u00eb Teheran apo jo. <\/span><\/p>\n

Tregjet duket se po v\u00ebn\u00eb bast p\u00ebr nj\u00eb fund kaq t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, nj\u00eb fund i till\u00eb ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb edhe p\u00eblqimin e Izraelit, i cili ka sinjalizuar se \u00ebsht\u00eb i p\u00ebrgatitur t\u00eb veproj\u00eb edhe n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebanshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb eliminuar p\u00ebrgjithmon\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin b\u00ebrthamor iranian. \/Burimi: Axios. P\u00ebrshtati n\u00eb shqip LAPSI.al<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

The post 5 skenar\u00ebt\/ Si dhe kur do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb lufta n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mesazhet kontradiktore t\u00eb Trump po shqet\u00ebsojn\u00eb aleat\u00ebt dhe tregjet, pasi t\u00eb gjith\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb se si, dhe kur do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb kjo luft\u00eb e vazhdueshme me Iranin. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo pasiguri po intensifikon gjithashtu presionet ekonomike brenda SHBA-s\u00eb, duke rritur kostot politike p\u00ebr presidentin e SHBA-s\u00eb p\u00ebrpara zgjedhjeve t\u00eb mesit t\u00eb mandatit […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75949\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}