{"id":6713,"date":"2025-02-20T22:02:38","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T22:02:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2025\/02\/20\/analiza-e-forte-ne-der-standard-a-po-ndihmon-trump-qe-putin-te-fitoje-luften\/"},"modified":"2025-02-20T22:02:38","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T22:02:38","slug":"analiza-e-forte-ne-der-standard-a-po-ndihmon-trump-qe-putin-te-fitoje-luften","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2025\/02\/20\/analiza-e-forte-ne-der-standard-a-po-ndihmon-trump-qe-putin-te-fitoje-luften\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiza e fort\u00eb n\u00eb \u201cDer Standard\u201d\/ A po ndihmon Trump q\u00eb Putin t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb luft\u00ebn"},"content":{"rendered":"

N\u00eb nat\u00ebn e nj\u00eb jave m\u00eb par\u00eb, kur Donald Trump diskutonte n\u00eb telefon t\u00eb ardhmen e Ukrain\u00ebs me Vladimir Putinin, njer\u00ebzit n\u00eb Odessa u b\u00ebn\u00eb d\u00ebshmitar\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb prekshme se si \u00ebsht\u00eb situata n\u00eb vendin e tyre pas 3 vitesh luft\u00eb. Jehona n\u00eb politik\u00ebn bot\u00ebrore p\u00ebr bised\u00ebn telefonike mes dy krer\u00ebve t\u00eb shteteve, n\u00eb qytetin e Detit t\u00eb Zi u mbyt nga zhurma e dron\u00ebve rus\u00eb. Teksa linjat telefonike midis Uashingtonit dhe Mosk\u00ebs ishin ende t\u00eb nxehta, dron\u00ebt rus\u00eb po fluturonin mbi kokat e banor\u00ebve t\u00eb Odessa drejt portit m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb aluzion. Mesazhi ishte se Rusia mund t\u00eb godas\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebn kurdo, sido dhe ku t\u00eb doj\u00eb. 3 vjet pas fillimit t\u00eb luft\u00ebs, vendi i sulmuar \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb i pambrojtur dhe me shpin\u00eb pas murit. Ukraina, e cila e ka mbrojtur veten kund\u00ebr pushtimit rus p\u00ebr kaq gjat\u00eb me kosto t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme, tashm\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnohet t\u00eb shtypet n\u00eb mullirin e politik\u00ebs bot\u00ebrore. Ajo q\u00eb po negociohet, n\u00ebse fare, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb paqe e drejt\u00eb, por nj\u00eb dor\u00ebzim. Qeveria n\u00eb Kiev \u00ebsht\u00eb e bllokuar. Per\u00ebndimi \u00ebsht\u00eb i ndar\u00eb. Ushtria ukrainase \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar. Dhe Putini \u00ebsht\u00eb pothuajse aty?<\/span><\/p>\n

SHBA godet Kievin me thik\u00eb pas shpine<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00eb fakt, aktualisht ka shum\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb besuar se sundimtari rus do t\u00eb marr\u00eb m\u00eb n\u00eb fund at\u00eb q\u00eb d\u00ebshiron tre vjet pas fjalimit t\u00eb tij t\u00eb shpalljes s\u00eb luft\u00ebs nat\u00ebn e 24 shkurtit 2022: \u201c\u00e7militarizim dhe denazifikimi\u201d. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb trupat ukrainase vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb mbrohen me v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb front, Shtetet e Bashkuara, deri tani mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsi m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm, po k\u00ebrc\u00ebnojn\u00eb ta godasin Ukrain\u00ebs me thik\u00eb pas shpine.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tashm\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb flitet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb \u201cMynih t\u00eb dyt\u00eb\u201d. N\u00eb vitin 1938, Italia, Franca dhe Britania e Madhe i dor\u00ebzuan Sudetet, Gjermanis\u00eb naziste sipas Marr\u00ebveshjes s\u00eb Mynihut. Fakti q\u00eb SHBA-t\u00eb tani po ia dor\u00ebzojn\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebn Putinit, si\u00e7 u duk gjat\u00eb Konferenc\u00ebs s\u00eb Siguris\u00eb n\u00eb Mynih \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb ironi e hidhur.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cMesazhi nga Mynihu ishte i qart\u00eb: SHBA nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb partneri q\u00eb ishte dikur. Kjo krijon nj\u00eb kontekst krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb ri p\u00ebr rrjedh\u00ebn e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj lufte\u201d \u2013 tha p\u00ebr \u201cDer Standard\u201d, John Lough, analist gjeopolitik n\u00eb qendr\u00ebn e mendimit Chatham House n\u00eb Lond\u00ebr. \u201cKjo \u00ebsht\u00eb tragjike p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn. Ajo luftoi gjithashtu edhe p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn, edhe p\u00ebr vlerat per\u00ebndimore. Dhe tani duket sikur po braktiset.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI rraskapitur dhe i demoralizuar\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nuk flitet m\u00eb p\u00ebr vendosjen e Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion t\u00eb fort\u00eb p\u00ebrpara negociatave t\u00eb mundshme, si\u00e7 u tha vet\u00ebm disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb. P\u00ebrkundrazi. \u201cUkraina \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion strategjik edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb keq sot se sa ishte nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb\u201d \u2013 thot\u00eb Alexander Graef nga Instituti p\u00ebr K\u00ebrkimin e Paqes dhe Politikat e Siguris\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin e Hamburgut.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pik\u00ebrisht nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb, Ukraina u t\u00ebrhoq nga qyteti Avdiivka, dhe tashm\u00eb, dhjet\u00ebra mij\u00ebra vdekje m\u00eb pas, qyteti i Pokrovsk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb prag t\u00eb r\u00ebnies. Rusia ka shkat\u00ebrruar gjithashtu infrastruktur\u00ebn e saj energjetike dhe nd\u00ebrprerjet e energjis\u00eb elektrike po rriten. Nd\u00ebrsa \u201ckontakti i papritur i drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb midis Trump dhe Putin pa koordinim paraprak nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar e ka dob\u00ebsuar jasht\u00ebzakonisht politikisht Ukrain\u00ebn.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo prek edhe popullat\u00ebn civile. \u201cSulmet gjat\u00eb nat\u00ebs me dron\u00eb tashm\u00eb kan\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb efekt psikologjik. Shum\u00eb prej tyre jan\u00eb t\u00eb rraskapitur dhe t\u00eb demoralizuar\u201d \u2013 thot\u00eb Andreas Heinemann-Gr\u00fcder, ekspert p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin e Bonit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ai ishte p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb Kiev p\u00ebr Krishtlindje. Ai vler\u00ebson se 680 mij\u00eb ushtar\u00eb ukrainas kan\u00eb vdekur ose jan\u00eb plagosur pas 3 viteve luft\u00eb. Ukraina ka ende municion t\u00eb mjaftuesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar luft\u00ebn edhe p\u00ebr 6 muaj t\u00eb tjer\u00eb n\u00ebse furnizimet nga Per\u00ebndimi mbarojn\u00eb. Por: \u201cMe k\u00ebto shifra t\u00eb larta t\u00eb viktimave, Ukraina ndoshta nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb luft\u00ebn p\u00ebr shum\u00eb m\u00eb gjat\u00eb.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00ebshtir\u00eb se vihet re ndonj\u00eb mosmarr\u00ebveshje<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse u takon zot\u00ebrinjve t\u00eb rinj n\u00eb Uashington, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb. N\u00eb ve\u00e7anti, klika rreth Z\u00ebvend\u00ebs-Presidentit t\u00eb Donald Trump, JD Vance do t\u00eb d\u00ebshironte t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpriste t\u00eb gjith\u00eb ndihm\u00ebn p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn q\u00eb sot, thot\u00eb Lough. Dhe vet\u00eb presidenti tani ka dal\u00eb hapur n\u00eb an\u00ebn e Putinit me retorik\u00ebn e tij.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjithsesi, imazhi i presidentit amerikan q\u00eb k\u00ebrcen me melodin\u00eb e Kremlinit para syve t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb pritur me miratim universal n\u00eb qarqet e qeveris\u00eb amerikane. \u201cSigurisht q\u00eb ka njer\u00ebz q\u00eb mendojn\u00eb se Rusia duhet t\u2019i jap\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb di\u00e7ka n\u00eb k\u00ebmbim. \u00c7far\u00eb sakt\u00ebsisht \u00ebsht\u00eb e paqart\u00eb, ndoshta di\u00e7ka q\u00eb lidhet me Kin\u00ebn ose Arktikun\u201d. Kush jan\u00eb k\u00ebta njer\u00ebz? P\u00ebr shembull, Keith Kellogg, p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesi special i Trump, i cili vizitoi Kievin t\u00eb enjten dhe mbron nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim m\u00eb t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr ndaj Rusis\u00eb. \u201cPor ju mezi i d\u00ebgjoni k\u00ebto z\u00ebra p\u00ebr momentin.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Problemi, thot\u00eb Lough, \u00ebsht\u00eb mbi t\u00eb gjitha nxitimi me t\u00eb cilin Trump po i afrohet \u00e7\u00ebshtjes s\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs: \u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb e rrezikshme kur ai \u00ebsht\u00eb me nxitim\u201d. Shpejt\u00ebsia vret \u2013 n\u00eb fund t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb kurriz t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs?<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, p\u00ebr Putinin, i cili ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet q\u00eb nga viti 2000, koha nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aspak e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. Pavar\u00ebsisht nga humbjet e saj t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, Rusia beson se \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrug\u00ebn drejt fitores ushtarakisht. Pas 3 vitesh luft\u00eb, Kremlini tani mund t\u00eb arrinte q\u00ebllimet e tij t\u00eb luft\u00ebs pa nj\u00eb p\u00ebrparim t\u00eb madh nga trupat e tij.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cN\u00ebse rus\u00ebt do t\u00eb ishin t\u00eb zgjuar, s\u00eb pari do t\u00eb pranonin nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim dhe do t\u00eb prisnin zgjedhjet presidenciale n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, t\u00eb cilat do t\u00eb duhej t\u00eb vinin pas p\u00ebrfundimit t\u00eb ligjit ushtarak\u201d, \u2013 thot\u00eb analisti i Chatham House, Lough. \u201cPor un\u00eb nuk mendoj se ata do t\u00eb jen\u00eb aq t\u00eb duruesh\u00ebm.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Q\u00ebllimet e luft\u00ebs jan\u00eb t\u00eb arritshme<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Prej vitesh, sundimtari Putin, i cili ka eliminuar t\u00eb gjith\u00eb opozit\u00ebn n\u00eb vendin e tij dhe ka lejuar q\u00eb zgjedhjet t\u00eb manipulohen, m\u00eb n\u00eb fund ka nxitur zgjedhje t\u00eb reja n\u00eb vendin fqinj t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar nga lufta. Ai tani ka gjetur nj\u00eb bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtor t\u00eb gatsh\u00ebm tek Trump, i cili s\u00eb fundmi e ka quajtur presidentin ukrainas Volodymyr Zelenskyj, i cili mbetet n\u00eb detyr\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb ligjit ushtarak t\u00eb provokuar nga Moska, nj\u00eb \u201cdiktator\u201d dhe \u201ct\u00eb tmerrsh\u00ebm\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Llogaritjet e Putinit: Sa m\u00eb shpejt t\u00eb arrihet nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb gjendja e jasht\u00ebzakonshme, aq m\u00eb shpejt do t\u00eb votohet Zelensky. Sondazhet aktualisht b\u00ebjn\u00eb q\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar i till\u00eb t\u00eb duket t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn i mundsh\u00ebm. \u201cFushata zgjedhore do t\u00eb jet\u00eb brutale, me gjith\u00eb zhg\u00ebnjimin p\u00ebr Zelensky dhe rrjedh\u00ebn e luft\u00ebs\u201d, \u2013 thot\u00eb Lough. N\u00ebse llogaritjet e Putinit funksionojn\u00eb, propaganda e Kremlinit ende mund t\u00eb shpall\u00eb r\u00ebnien e \u201cregjimit t\u00eb Kievit\u201d t\u00eb urryer dhe presidentit t\u00eb tij \u201chebre\u201d. Synimi num\u00ebr nj\u00eb i luft\u00ebs, i ashtuquajturi \u201cdenazifikimi\u201d vihet n\u00ebn kontroll.<\/span><\/p>\n

Putini mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb shpres\u00eb p\u00ebr q\u00ebllimin tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb tij, t\u00eb cilin e vendosi n\u00eb vitin 2022. \u201cAi nuk d\u00ebshiron trupa per\u00ebndimore n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, madje as ato evropiane. \u00c7\u00ebshtja e NATO-s \u00ebsht\u00eb jasht\u00eb tryez\u00ebs. Ai gjithashtu do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb parandaloj\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimin e Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb BE\u201d \u2013 thot\u00eb Lough. N\u00ebse Rusia arrin t\u00eb pengoj\u00eb d\u00ebrgesat e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb arm\u00ebve, si\u00e7 jan\u00eb pajisjet e SHBA-ve t\u00eb blera nga shtetet e BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr ushtrin\u00eb e Kievit, q\u00ebllimi i saj i dyt\u00eb i luft\u00ebs do t\u00eb ishte po aq i realizuar: \u201c\u00e7militarizimi\u201d i Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dhe e gjith\u00eb kjo pa pasur nevoj\u00eb t\u00eb rekrutoj\u00eb ushtar\u00eb shtes\u00eb. \u201cPutini mund t\u2019i arrij\u00eb k\u00ebto q\u00ebllime vet\u00ebm ushtarakisht n\u00eb rrethana shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira. N\u00eb fund t\u00eb fundit, Rusia gjithashtu duhet t\u00eb menaxhoj\u00eb burimet e saj\u201d \u2013 thot\u00eb studiuesi i Evrop\u00ebs Lindore me baz\u00eb n\u00eb Hamburg, Graef. Gjithashtu p\u00ebr pushtimin e 4 rajoneve n\u00eb jug dhe n\u00eb lindje, t\u00eb cilat <\/span>Rusia nuk i kontrollon ende plot\u00ebsisht: \u201cP\u00ebr momentin, megjithat\u00eb, duket sikur administrata amerikane \u00ebsht\u00eb e p\u00ebrgatitur t\u00eb detyroj\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebn t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb l\u00ebshime edhe p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse ka nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim dhe ndarje \u201cde facto\u201d t\u00eb vendit, John Lough sheh pak shpres\u00eb p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn: \u201cUkraina e lir\u00eb mund t\u00eb lul\u00ebzoj\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00ebse mbrohet. N\u00ebse nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb, askush nuk do t\u00eb investoj\u00eb atje dhe t\u00eb rind\u00ebrtoj\u00eb vendin.\u201d Putini do t\u00eb kishte arritur k\u00ebshtu q\u00ebllimin e tij t\u00eb tret\u00eb dhe ndoshta m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm: shkat\u00ebrrimin e Ukrain\u00ebs si nj\u00eb vend ekonomikisht i pavarur p\u00ebrkrah Rusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Luft\u00eb partizane n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Por, \u00e7ka n\u00ebse Ukraina thot\u00eb jo? Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aspak e sigurt se Kievi thjesht do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkulet para asaj q\u00eb e sheh si nj\u00eb kompromis t\u00eb ndyr\u00eb. \u201cUn\u00eb mendoj se pas gjith\u00e7kaje q\u00eb ka ndodhur, Ukraina do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb mbroj\u00eb pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e saj,\u201d thot\u00eb Lough. \u201cSHBA-ja sigurisht mund t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb ndihm\u00ebn ushtarake, por un\u00eb kam dyshimet e mia n\u00ebse kjo do t\u00eb mjaftonte p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kapitullim\u201d \u2013 pranon Heinemann-Gr\u00fcder: \u201cAsnj\u00eb ukrainas nuk d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb jetoj\u00eb n\u00ebn pushtimin rus sot.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Ai beson se ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb q\u00eb ushtria ukrainase t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb n\u00eb taktika guerile n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme. \u201cBatalionet m\u00eb t\u00eb mira q\u00eb ka ende Ukraina ndoshta do t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb si partizan\u00eb. Amerikan\u00ebt duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb vet\u00ebdijsh\u00ebm se Ukraina nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb kukull. Ukraina nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb Bosnje Hercegovina apo Kosova, por nj\u00eb kategori tjet\u00ebr\u201d. \u00a9Nga Florian Niederndorfer, Der Standard<\/a>, p\u00ebrshtati n\u00eb shqip LAPSI.al<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

The post Analiza e fort\u00eb n\u00eb \u201cDer Standard\u201d\/ A po ndihmon Trump q\u00eb Putin t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb luft\u00ebn<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

N\u00eb nat\u00ebn e nj\u00eb jave m\u00eb par\u00eb, kur Donald Trump diskutonte n\u00eb telefon t\u00eb ardhmen e Ukrain\u00ebs me Vladimir Putinin, njer\u00ebzit n\u00eb Odessa u b\u00ebn\u00eb d\u00ebshmitar\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb prekshme se si \u00ebsht\u00eb situata n\u00eb vendin e tyre pas 3 vitesh luft\u00eb. Jehona n\u00eb politik\u00ebn bot\u00ebrore p\u00ebr bised\u00ebn telefonike mes dy krer\u00ebve t\u00eb shteteve, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6713\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}