{"id":64660,"date":"2026-01-17T16:48:18","date_gmt":"2026-01-17T16:48:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/01\/17\/kryengritja-e-zgjatur-paqesore-e-berishes-qe-zgjat-me-pak-se-2-ore\/"},"modified":"2026-01-17T16:48:18","modified_gmt":"2026-01-17T16:48:18","slug":"kryengritja-e-zgjatur-paqesore-e-berishes-qe-zgjat-me-pak-se-2-ore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/2026\/01\/17\/kryengritja-e-zgjatur-paqesore-e-berishes-qe-zgjat-me-pak-se-2-ore\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Kryengritja e zgjatur paq\u00ebsore\u2019 e Berish\u00ebs, q\u00eb zgjat m\u00eb pak se 2 or\u00eb\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nga Eduard Zaloshnja\/<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Kreu i PD, Sali Berisha, foli sot p\u00ebr protest\u00ebn e rradh\u00ebs s\u00eb opozit\u00ebs m\u00eb 24 Janar. Gjat\u00eb bashk\u00ebbisedimit me ndjek\u00ebsit n\u00eb rrjetet sociale, Berisha tha se opozita nuk synon t\u00eb marr\u00eb pushtet me dhun\u00eb. Ai shtoi se beson tek nj\u00eb kryengritje paq\u00ebsore dhe t\u00eb zgjatur, prej s\u00eb cil\u00ebs mund t\u00eb ndryshohet pushteti, sipas tij.<\/p>\n

Por proesta t\u00eb ngjashme t\u00eb PD-s\u00eb deri m\u00eb sot kan\u00eb treguar se protestuesit vijn\u00eb me furgona n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb nga qytete t\u00eb ndryshme dhe n\u00eb m\u00eb pak se 2 or\u00eb shp\u00ebrndahen andej nga kan\u00eb ardhur, pasi kan\u00eb d\u00ebgjuar fjalimet e zakonshme t\u00eb Berish\u00ebs & co.<\/p>\n

Po \u00e7far\u00eb na tregon historia bot\u00ebrore p\u00ebr protestat paq\u00ebsore t\u00eb suksesshme?<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 1986, miliona filipinas dol\u00ebn n\u00eb rrug\u00ebt e Manil\u00ebs, duke protestuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb paq\u00ebsore (n\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb u quajt \u201cL\u00ebvizja e Pushtetit t\u00eb Popullit\u201d). Dhe n\u00eb dit\u00ebn e kat\u00ebrt t\u00eb protestave paq\u00ebsore t\u00eb vazhdueshme, regjimi i Markosit u rr\u00ebzua\u2026<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2003, qindra mijra gjeorgjian\u00eb rr\u00ebzuan Shevardnadzen me revolucionin e tyre \u201ct\u00eb tr\u00ebndafilave\u201d, gjat\u00eb t\u00eb cilit protestuesit pushtuan parlamentin me lule n\u00eb duar.<\/p>\n

Para disa vitesh, president\u00ebt e Sudanit dhe Algjeris\u00eb deklaruan dor\u00ebheqjen e tyre, fal\u00eb protestave t\u00eb p\u00ebrditshme paq\u00ebsore qindra-mij\u00ebshe.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb secilin rast, fushatat e p\u00ebrditshme t\u00eb qindra mijrave qytetar\u00ebve arrit\u00ebn t\u00eb rr\u00ebzojn\u00eb elitat politike, dhe t\u00eb sjellin ndryshime t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme.<\/p>\n

Ka shum\u00eb arsye etike e morale p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjedhur strategjin\u00eb paq\u00ebsore p\u00ebr ndryshim. Dhe rezultat e nj\u00eb studimi shkencor t\u00eb Profesores Erica Chenoweth, t\u00eb Universitetit t\u00eb Harvardit, tregojn\u00eb se protestat jo t\u00eb dhun\u00ebshme s\u2019jan\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb zgjedhje e mir\u00eb morale, por edhe shum\u00eb m\u00eb efikase p\u00ebr ndryshimin e gjendjes politike.<\/p>\n

Duke analizuar qindra l\u00ebvizje (si t\u00eb dhunshme, edhe paq\u00ebsore), qysh nga viti 1900 e deri n\u00eb dit\u00ebt tona, Profesorja Chenoweth arriti n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se l\u00ebvizjet paq\u00ebsore kan\u00eb gjasa dyfish m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb suksesshme, krahasuar me ato t\u00eb dhunshme. E megjith\u00ebse dinamikat e \u00e7do l\u00ebvizje varen nga shum\u00eb faktor\u00eb, ajo ka gjetur se pjes\u00ebmarrja aktive n\u00eb l\u00ebvizjen paq\u00ebsore e t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 3.5% t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb garanton suksesin e saj.<\/p>\n

Kur filloi studimin e saj mbi k\u00ebt\u00eb tem\u00eb, Profesorja Chenoweth nuk besonte se l\u00ebvizjet paq\u00ebsore mund t\u00eb ishin m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme se ato t\u00eb dhunshme. Gjat\u00eb pun\u00ebs p\u00ebr mbrojtjen e doktoratur\u00ebs n\u00eb Universitetin e Kolorados, ajo kishte studiuar p\u00ebr vite faktor\u00ebt q\u00eb kontribuonin n\u00eb lindjen e terrorizmit dhe t\u00eb l\u00ebvizjeve t\u00eb dhunshme. Por n\u00eb nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb shkencore n\u00eb Uashington, ajo u ngacmua nga disa kumtesa mbi l\u00ebvizjet paq\u00ebsore.<\/p>\n

E ndihmuar nga studiuesja Maria Stephan, ajo mblodhi t\u00eb dh\u00ebna dhe studime p\u00ebr qindra l\u00ebvizje q\u00eb kishin synuar ndryshime politike n\u00eb vende nga m\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb bot\u00ebs (N\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e saj t\u00eb gjer\u00eb, ajo p\u00ebrjashtoi rastet kur ndryshimet politike kishin ardhur si rezultat i nd\u00ebrhyrjeve direkte ushtarake t\u00eb huaja). Profesorja Chenoweth i klasifikoi t\u00eb dhunshme l\u00ebvizjet, kur ishin p\u00ebrdorur bomba, kur kishin ndodhur d\u00ebmtime t\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebs etj., ose thjesht, kur ishin shkaktuar d\u00ebme materiale ose l\u00ebndime njerzore.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim, ajo gjeti se probabiliteti i suksesit t\u00eb nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje paq\u00ebsore ishte 93%. Nd\u00ebrsa probabiliteti i suksesit t\u00eb nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje t\u00eb dhunshme ishte sa gjysma \u2013 vet\u00ebm 46%.<\/p>\n

Kufiri 3.5%, ky\u00e7i i suksesit<\/p>\n

Si\u00e7 duket qart\u00eb nga probabilitetet e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme, jo t\u00eb gjitha l\u00ebvizjet paq\u00ebsore jan\u00eb t\u00eb suksesshme. Sipas Profesores Chenoweth, numri i pjes\u00ebm\u00ebrrsve n\u00eb l\u00ebvizjen paq\u00ebsore \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb faktor kritik p\u00ebr suksesin. N\u00eb qoft\u00eb se t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 3.5% e popullsis\u00eb, konkludoi ajo, merr pjes\u00eb aktive n\u00eb l\u00ebvizjen paq\u00ebsore, suksesi \u00ebsht\u00eb i pashmangsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n

Studimi i Profesores Chenoweth tregon se asnj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje paq\u00ebsore nuk ka d\u00ebshtuar, kur e ka arritur k\u00ebt\u00eb kufi.<\/p>\n

SH\u00cbNIM I R\u00cbND\u00cbSISH\u00cbM: 3.5% E POPULLSIS\u00cb N\u00cb SHQIP\u00cbRI \u00cbSHT\u00cb RRETH 82 MIJ\u00cb BANOR\u00cb<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Eduard Zaloshnja\/ Kreu i PD, Sali Berisha, foli sot p\u00ebr protest\u00ebn e rradh\u00ebs s\u00eb opozit\u00ebs m\u00eb 24 Janar. Gjat\u00eb bashk\u00ebbisedimit me ndjek\u00ebsit n\u00eb rrjetet sociale, Berisha tha se opozita nuk synon t\u00eb marr\u00eb pushtet me dhun\u00eb. Ai shtoi se beson tek nj\u00eb kryengritje paq\u00ebsore dhe t\u00eb zgjatur, prej s\u00eb cil\u00ebs mund t\u00eb ndryshohet pushteti, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64660\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}