\u00c7mimet e gazit natyror n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm dit\u00ebt e fundit, me standardin e Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) q\u00eb ra n\u00ebn 28 euro p\u00ebr megavat or\u00eb t\u00eb mart\u00ebn \u2013 nj\u00eb nivel q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb par\u00eb q\u00eb nga prilli i vitit 2024.<\/p>\n
Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cqendra\u201d kryesore e tregtimit t\u00eb gazit natyror n\u00eb Europ\u00eb, e vendosur n\u00eb Holand\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb treg virtual ku kompanit\u00eb blejn\u00eb dhe shesin gaz natyror, jo nj\u00eb vend fizik.<\/p>\n
Dhe kjo, sipas nj\u00eb shkrimi t\u00eb Euronews, p\u00ebrcjell Telegrafi, vjen pavar\u00ebsisht nj\u00eb fillimi relativisht t\u00eb hersh\u00ebm dhe t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb t\u00eb dimrit n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs kontinentale.
\nSi\u00e7 thuhet m\u00eb tej, q\u00eb nga janari, \u00e7mimet e gazit natyror n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 45% dhe mbi 90% nga nivelet e tyre rekord gjat\u00eb kriz\u00ebs energjitike t\u00eb vitit 2022.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb shikim t\u00eb par\u00eb, kjo r\u00ebnie duket kund\u00ebrintuitive nd\u00ebrsa temperaturat bien dhe nivelet e magazinimit t\u00eb gazit mbeten relativisht t\u00eb ul\u00ebta.<\/p>\n
Si\u00e7 v\u00eb n\u00eb pah shkrimi, q\u00eb nga 30 n\u00ebntori, rezervat evropiane ishin 75% t\u00eb plota, af\u00ebrsisht 10% n\u00ebn mesataren pes\u00ebvje\u00e7are.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb Gjermani, tregu m\u00eb i madh i gazit n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, nivelet e magazinimit jan\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebta, vet\u00ebm 67%, m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 20% n\u00ebn normat sezonale.<\/p>\n
Gazi amerikan riform\u00ebson tregun evropian<\/p>\n
Shkaku kryesor pas r\u00ebnies s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve ndodhet p\u00ebrtej Atlantikut.<\/p>\n
Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb rritur eksportet e gazit natyror t\u00eb l\u00ebngsh\u00ebm (LNG) n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb, duke kompensuar furnizimet e reduktuara ruse dhe duke riform\u00ebsuar ekuilibrin global t\u00eb energjis\u00eb.
\nSipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb Kpler, ngarkesat amerikane kan\u00eb p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb rreth 56% t\u00eb importeve t\u00eb LNG-s\u00eb t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs k\u00ebt\u00eb vit.<\/p>\n
Dhe me k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn aziatike relativisht t\u00eb dob\u00ebt dhe kapacitetin e eksportit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb, Evropa \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb destinacioni kryesor p\u00ebr LNG-n\u00eb amerikane.<\/p>\n
Ky fluks i vazhduesh\u00ebm po ushtron presion n\u00eb r\u00ebnie mbi TTF-n\u00eb, duke ngushtuar diferenc\u00ebn \u2013 ose diferenc\u00ebn e \u00e7mimeve \u2013 midis \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb gazit natyror evropian dhe amerikan.<\/p>\n
Diferenca TTF-Henry Hub ngushtohet ndjesh\u00ebm<\/p>\n
Historikisht, gazi amerikan \u2013 i \u00e7mimit n\u00eb \u201cqendr\u00ebn Henry Hub\u201d \u2013 tregtohet me nj\u00eb zbritje ndaj TTF-s\u00eb evropiane p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb prodhimit t\u00eb bollsh\u00ebm vendas n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Veriut.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, kjo diferenc\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb zvog\u00ebluar ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00eb vitin 2025, duke r\u00ebn\u00eb nga rreth 12 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr milion nj\u00ebsi termike britanike (MMBtu) n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb vitit n\u00eb vet\u00ebm 4.8 dollar\u00eb, m\u00eb e ul\u00ebta q\u00eb nga maji i vitit 2021.<\/p>\n
Aktualisht, gazi TTF tregtohet me pak m\u00eb pak se 10 dollar\u00eb\/MMBtu, vet\u00ebm dyfishi i \u00e7mimit t\u00eb gazit Henry Hub, i cili mesatarisht ishte 5.045 dollar\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb jav\u00eb.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr kontekst, gjat\u00eb kriz\u00ebs energjetike t\u00eb vitit 2022, \u00e7mimet e TTF u rrit\u00ebn n\u00eb 350 euro\/MWh (rreth 100 dollar\u00eb\/MMBtu), nd\u00ebrsa Henry Hub ishte af\u00ebr 10 dollar\u00ebve, duke krijuar nj\u00eb diferenc\u00eb rekord transatlantike prej gati 90 dollar\u00ebsh\/MMBtu.<\/p>\n
Ky hendek n\u00eb zvog\u00eblim i \u00e7mimeve pasqyron nj\u00eb riorganizim m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb n\u00eb rrjedhat globale t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, vler\u00ebson Euronews.<\/p>\n
Sipas mediumit n\u00eb fjal\u00eb, GNL-ja amerikane \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb \u201cvalvula e siguris\u00eb e Evrop\u00ebs\u201d, duke leht\u00ebsuar frik\u00ebn e mungesave dhe duke sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb ndjenj\u00eb normaliteti p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb tregje.<\/p>\n
Sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb GNL q\u00eb SHBA-t\u00eb mund t\u00eb eksportojn\u00eb, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb mund t\u00eb leht\u00ebsoj\u00eb presionin e \u00e7mimeve n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Parashikime afatgjata p\u00ebr gazin natyror<\/p>\n
Duke par\u00eb p\u00ebrpara, analist\u00ebt n\u00eb Goldman Sachs parashikojn\u00eb q\u00eb ky trend ribalancimi t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb dekad\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Samantha Dart, pret q\u00eb rritja e furnizimit global \u2013 ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht nga SHBA-ja \u2013 t\u00eb rris\u00eb nivelet e magazinimit evropian dhe gradualisht t\u00eb ul\u00eb TTF-n\u00eb dhe \u00e7mimet, duke parashikuar TTF n\u00eb 29 \u20ac\/MWh n\u00eb vitin 2026 dhe 20 \u20ac\/MWh n\u00eb vitin 2027.<\/p>\n
Deri n\u00eb vitet 2028\u20132029, mbingarkesa e magazinimit n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Veriper\u00ebndimore mund ta ul\u00eb TTF-n\u00eb deri n\u00eb 12 \u20ac\/MWh, duke mbyllur arbitrazhin e eksportit t\u00eb LNG-s\u00eb n\u00eb SHBA dhe duke detyruar anulimet e ngarkesave amerikane.
\nKjo nga ana tjet\u00ebr do t\u00eb ulte \u00e7mimet n\u00eb SHBA, me Henry Hub q\u00eb potencialisht do t\u00eb binte n\u00eb 2.70 $\/MMBtu.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, pas vitit 2030, Goldman sheh potencialin p\u00ebr nj\u00eb shtr\u00ebngim t\u00eb ri t\u00eb LNG-s\u00eb, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga politikat e dekarbonizimit t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs dhe rritja e investimeve n\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn aziatike.<\/p>\n
The post Pse \u00e7mimet e gazit natyror n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb po bien pavar\u00ebsisht dimrit t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb?<\/a> appeared first on www.lexo.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7mimet e gazit natyror n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm dit\u00ebt e fundit, me standardin e Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) q\u00eb ra n\u00ebn 28 euro p\u00ebr megavat or\u00eb t\u00eb mart\u00ebn \u2013 nj\u00eb nivel q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb par\u00eb q\u00eb nga prilli i vitit 2024. Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cqendra\u201d kryesore e tregtimit t\u00eb gazit […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56053\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}