Lindja e Mesme ka ndryshuar thell\u00ebsisht q\u00eb kur Donald Trump ishte n\u00eb detyr\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb parashikohet sakt\u00ebsisht se si Trump do t\u2019i qaset rajonit k\u00ebt\u00eb her\u00eb \u2013 ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht Iranit dhe Gaz\u00ebs \u2013 duket qart\u00eb se sfidat do t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira.<\/p>\n
Nga Daoud Kuttab<\/p>\n
Fitorja e Donald Trump n\u00eb zgjedhjet presidenciale n\u00eb SHBA nuk ishte surpriz\u00eb p\u00ebr popujt n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme. Qeverit\u00eb n\u00eb rajon e kishin planifikuar k\u00ebt\u00eb dhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb muaj para inaugurimit t\u00eb Trump, ato jan\u00eb gati t\u00eb merren me t\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb Trump ai q\u00eb mund ta gjej\u00eb veten t\u00eb pap\u00ebrgatitur, sepse Lindja e Mesme e sotme \u00ebsht\u00eb thelb\u00ebsisht e ndryshme nga ajo me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn ai u p\u00ebrball gjat\u00eb mandatit t\u00eb tij t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb. Dy ndryshimet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha jan\u00eb Irani dhe Gaza.
\nLe t\u00eb fillojm\u00eb me Iranin. Gjat\u00eb mandatit t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb Trump, ai grisi Planin e P\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt Gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebs t\u00eb Veprimit 2015 p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar programin b\u00ebrthamor t\u00eb Iranit. Nd\u00ebrsa presidenti i Iranit n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb, Hassan Rouhani, u pasua n\u00eb vitin 2021 nga nj\u00eb ultra-konservator, i ndjeri Ebrahim Raisi, presidenca tani mbahet p\u00ebrs\u00ebri nga nj\u00eb president relativisht i moderuar, Masoud Pezeshkian.<\/p>\n
Edhe p\u00ebrpara se Pezeshkian t\u00eb merrte detyr\u00ebn, Irani ishte i angazhuar n\u00eb afrimin me fqinj\u00ebt e tij arab\u00eb, duke rivendosur marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet diplomatike me rivalin e tij t\u00eb madh rajonal, Arabin\u00eb Saudite, n\u00eb mars 2023. Kjo l\u00ebvizje e papritur dhe me shum\u00eb pasoja ishte pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb nisme t\u00eb vazhdueshme t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuar nga Kina, me sa duket synonte n\u00eb uljen e tensioneve dhe forcimin e stabilitetit n\u00eb rajon.<\/p>\n
Kjo na sjell n\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshim tjet\u00ebr q\u00eb kur Trump ishte n\u00eb detyr\u00eb: si Kina ashtu edhe Rusia kan\u00eb forcuar marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e tyre me Iranin (dhe me nj\u00ebra-tjetr\u00ebn). Nd\u00ebrsa Trump ishte gjithmon\u00eb antagonist ndaj Kin\u00ebs dhe Iranit, ai mbajti nj\u00eb lloj \u201cbromance\u201d me presidentin rus Vladimir Putin gjat\u00eb mandatit t\u00eb tij t\u00eb par\u00eb. Por nd\u00ebrsa ai duket i etur p\u00ebr t\u00eb koordinuar nj\u00eb de-p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim t\u00eb luft\u00ebrave n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe Lindjen e Mesme drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me Putinin, atij do t\u2019i duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb grup t\u00eb ri dinamikash.<\/p>\n
Gjithsesi, nj\u00eb de-p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i armiq\u00ebsive n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme do t\u00eb jet\u00eb i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u arritur. Fushata brutale e Izraelit kund\u00ebr Gaz\u00ebs filloi si hakmarrje p\u00ebr sulmin e Hamasit t\u00eb 7 tetorit 2023, por tani ka shkaktuar nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb tmerrsh\u00ebm humbjesh jet\u00ebsh, zhvendosjesh dhe vuajtjesh civil\u00ebsh. N\u00eb fakt, me Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe Franc\u00ebn q\u00eb kan\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuar nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim n\u00eb Liban, fushata e Izraelit kund\u00ebr Hezbollahut duket se do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb p\u00ebrpara inaugurimit t\u00eb Trump. Por \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb parashikohet n\u00ebse nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje \u201cpaqeje\u201d n\u00eb Liban do ta b\u00ebj\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00eb apo m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb arritjen e nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje t\u00eb ngjashme n\u00eb Gaz\u00eb, jo m\u00eb pak p\u00ebr shkak se Trump-it i mungon ndonj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim i qart\u00eb p\u00ebr pothuajse \u00e7do \u00e7\u00ebshtje.<\/p>\n
Presidenti i SHBA-s\u00eb Joe Biden ishte m\u00eb i leht\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u kuptuar. Ai dhe sekretari i tij i shtetit, Antony Blinken, mbajn\u00eb nj\u00eb doz\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar bagazhesh ideologjike sioniste. Pra, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb administrata Biden i ka k\u00ebrkuar Izraelit t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb ofensiv\u00ebn e tij dhe ka k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar se do t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb ndihm\u00ebn n\u00ebse nuk p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsohen kushtet p\u00ebr civil\u00ebt n\u00eb Gaz\u00eb, ajo ka racionalizuar pand\u00ebrprer\u00eb veprimet e Izraelit dhe ka vazhduar ta furnizoj\u00eb at\u00eb me arm\u00eb. Edhe n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e arm\u00ebpushimit n\u00eb Liban, administrata Biden thuhet se po vazhdon para me nj\u00eb shitje arm\u00ebsh prej 680 milion\u00eb dollar\u00ebsh p\u00ebr Izraelin.<\/p>\n
Trump ka treguar nj\u00eb preferenc\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme p\u00ebr interesat e Izraelit. Gjat\u00eb administrat\u00ebs s\u00eb tij t\u00eb par\u00eb, ai nd\u00ebrpreu dekada politik\u00eb t\u00eb konsoliduar p\u00ebr ta zhvendosur ambasad\u00ebn amerikane n\u00eb Izrael n\u00eb Jerusalem, njohu sovranitetin izraelit mbi Lart\u00ebsit\u00eb e pushtuara t\u00eb Golanit dhe t\u00ebrhoqi Agjencin\u00eb e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara p\u00ebr Ndihm\u00eb dhe Pun\u00eb, programi kryesor q\u00eb mb\u00ebshtet refugjat\u00ebt palestinez\u00eb. Ai gjithashtu nisi procesin e normalizimit arabo-izraelit, me Izraelin q\u00eb n\u00ebnshkroi t\u00eb ashtuquajturat Marr\u00ebveshje t\u00eb Abrahamit me Emiratet e Bashkuara Arabe, Bahreinin, Marokun dhe Sudanin n\u00eb 2020-2021.<\/p>\n
Trump planifikon t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb shum\u00eb figura pro-izraelite n\u00eb administrat\u00ebn e tij t\u00eb re. Por kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Gaz\u00eb, mungesa e ndonj\u00eb angazhimi fiks ideologjik do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se q\u00ebllimi i tij \u00ebsht\u00eb i thjesht\u00eb: t\u00eb arrij\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje. \u00c7far\u00ebdo q\u00eb t\u00eb dal\u00eb kjo marr\u00ebveshje, \u00ebsht\u00eb pothuajse e sigurt se do t\u00eb jet\u00eb di\u00e7ka e keqe p\u00ebr palestinez\u00ebt, jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb prirjes pro-izraelite t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs, por edhe sepse marr\u00ebveshjet e nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuara nga jasht\u00eb priren t\u00eb pasqyrojn\u00eb ekuilibrin e fuqis\u00eb n\u00eb terren, gj\u00eb q\u00eb favorizon qart\u00eb Izraelin.<\/p>\n
Palestinez\u00ebt nuk kan\u00eb as mb\u00ebshtetje t\u00eb fort\u00eb nga vendet arabe, megjith\u00ebse Arabia Saudite ka deklaruar se nuk do t\u00eb vendos\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie diplomatike me Izraelin derisa t\u00eb krijohet nj\u00eb shtet i pavarur palestinez brenda kufijve t\u00eb vitit 1967. Marr\u00ebveshjet e Abrahamit jan\u00eb n\u00ebn presion, por ato nuk jan\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar.<\/p>\n
Por marr\u00ebveshja e arritur nga Trump mund t\u00eb mos jet\u00eb edhe aq e mrekullueshme p\u00ebr izraelit\u00ebt. Sipas gazetarit izraelit Barak Ravid, Trump i mbajti inat kryeministrit izraelit Binyamin Netanyahu, i cili nxitoi t\u00eb uronte Biden pasi ai mposhti Trump-in n\u00eb zgjedhjet e vitit 2020. P\u00ebr nj\u00eb president q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb zotuar vazhdimisht se do t\u00eb sh\u00ebnjestroj\u00eb armiqt\u00eb e tij, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb krejt\u00ebsisht e larg\u00ebt.<\/p>\n
Skenari m\u00eb i mundsh\u00ebm duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb fundi i luft\u00ebs aktuale dhe kthimi n\u00eb status quo-n\u00eb e para 7 tetorit, jo ndonj\u00eb lloj shtyse drejt nj\u00eb zgjidhje m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb politike. Por paparashikueshm\u00ebria e Trump dhe karakteri pro-izraelit i administrat\u00ebs s\u00eb tij kan\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuar shum\u00eb n\u00eb rajon se ai mund t\u2019i jap\u00eb drit\u00eb jeshile aneksimit izraelit t\u00eb nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb Bregut Per\u00ebndimor ose madje t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb krijimin e vendbanimeve hebraike n\u00eb Gaz\u00eb. Trump tashm\u00eb u p\u00ebrpoq t\u00eb krijonte nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje pro-izraelite, duke publikuar Planin e tij t\u00eb Paqes n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme n\u00eb janar 2020. Por ajo q\u00eb ai e quajti \u201cmarr\u00ebveshja e shekullit\u201d d\u00ebshtoi keq.<\/p>\n
Problemi, i cili duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb qart\u00ebsisht i duksh\u00ebm deri tani, \u00ebsht\u00eb se kur palestinez\u00ebt nuk shohin perspektiv\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb zgjidhje me dy shtete, ata n\u00eb fund veprojn\u00eb. Pra, edhe n\u00ebse Trump negocion nj\u00eb kthim n\u00eb status quo, nuk ka gjas\u00eb q\u00eb kjo t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Trump\u2019s Middle East Challenge<\/p>\n
The post Sfida e Trump n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme<\/a> appeared first on www.lexo.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Lindja e Mesme ka ndryshuar thell\u00ebsisht q\u00eb kur Donald Trump ishte n\u00eb detyr\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb parashikohet sakt\u00ebsisht se si Trump do t\u2019i qaset rajonit k\u00ebt\u00eb her\u00eb \u2013 ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht Iranit dhe Gaz\u00ebs \u2013 duket qart\u00eb se sfidat do t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira. Nga Daoud Kuttab Fitorja e Donald Trump n\u00eb zgjedhjet presidenciale n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3822","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3822"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3822\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3822"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3822"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3822"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}