Tani q\u00eb rinum\u00ebrimi i votave p\u00ebrfundoi n\u00eb dy qarqet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb vendit (ku u p\u00ebrcaktuan pothuaj 40% e mandateve parlamentare), mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e efekteve t\u00eb dy gabimeve taktike t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs (s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr e t\u00eb re), t\u00eb cilat u diskutuan gjer\u00eb e gjat\u00eb para zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 11 majit.<\/p>\n
Gabimi 1 (i opozit\u00ebs s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr)<\/p>\n
Teksa PS-ja i mbushi listat e hapura t\u00eb kandidat\u00ebve me deputet\u00eb e politikan\u00eb me em\u00ebr e t\u00eb sprovuar n\u00eb beteja zgjedhore, PD-ja i caktoi t\u00eb saj\u00ebt n\u00eb listat e mbylluara, ku shumica d\u00ebrrmuese e kishte mandatin statistikisht t\u00eb sigurt, pavar\u00ebsisht sesi shkonte gara n\u00eb qarqet e tyre p\u00ebrkat\u00ebs. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, ata nuk kishin ndonj\u00eb stimul personal konkret p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbeldhur vota personale n\u00eb qark. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, koleg\u00ebt e tyre socialist\u00eb u l\u00ebshuan t\u00eb gjith\u00eb n\u00eb terren, p\u00ebr t\u00eb grumbulluar vota personale (q\u00eb \u00e7uan uj\u00eb n\u00eb mullirin e p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt t\u00eb PS-s\u00eb).<\/p>\n
Gabimi 2 (i opozit\u00ebs s\u00eb re)<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrve\u00e7 PS-s\u00eb, PSD-s\u00eb dhe PD-ASHM-s\u00eb, u fut\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb rradh\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhje edhe tet\u00eb subjekte t\u00eb reja elektorale, t\u00eb cilat ishin n\u00eb gar\u00eb t\u00eb eg\u00ebr si me subjektet e vjetra, edhe me nj\u00ebra-tjetr\u00ebn. Dhe pik\u00ebrisht gara mes tyre i d\u00ebmtoi n\u00eb jo pak qarqe. N\u00eb qoft\u00eb se ato do t\u00eb ishin futur n\u00eb zgjedhje me lista t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebta n\u00eb \u00e7do qark, me kandidat\u00eb t\u00eb listave t\u00eb mbyllura q\u00eb do ta shpallnin publikisht dor\u00ebheqjen fill para zgjedhjeve dhe me kandidat\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb n\u00eb listat e hapura, do t\u00eb kishin siguruar m\u00eb shum\u00eb mandate se sa mor\u00ebn t\u00eb p\u00ebr\u00e7ara.<\/p>\n
Efekti i gabimeve taktike t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs (s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr e t\u00eb re)<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb analizuar efektin e k\u00ebtyre dy gabimeve taktike t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs (s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr e t\u00eb re), nd\u00ebrtova nj\u00eb model simulacioni statistikor m\u00eb votat zyrtare t\u00eb secilit qark. Nga 1000 simulacione t\u00eb k\u00ebtij modeli statistikor, rezultoi se PS-ja do t\u00eb merrte t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 8 mandate m\u00eb pak se \u00e7\u2019mori, n\u00eb qoft\u00eb se opozita (e vjet\u00ebr dhe t\u00eb re) nuk do ti kishin b\u00ebr\u00eb dy gabimet e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme taktike elektorale. Nga k\u00ebto 8 mandate, do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitonte kryesisht opozita e re.<\/p>\n
SH\u00cbNIM: 3 mandatet e PSD-s\u00eb, mbeteshin t\u00eb pandryshuara n\u00eb secilin simulacion t\u00eb modelit statistikor.<\/p>\n
The post Eduard Zaloshnja: Dy gabimet taktike t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs (s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr e t\u00eb re) q\u00eb i dhuruan PS-s\u00eb 8 mandate parlamentare<\/a> appeared first on www.lexo.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Tani q\u00eb rinum\u00ebrimi i votave p\u00ebrfundoi n\u00eb dy qarqet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb vendit (ku u p\u00ebrcaktuan pothuaj 40% e mandateve parlamentare), mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e efekteve t\u00eb dy gabimeve taktike t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs (s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr e t\u00eb re), t\u00eb cilat u diskutuan gjer\u00eb e gjat\u00eb para zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 11 majit. Gabimi 1 (i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29123","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29123\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}