Ashtu si\u00e7 ndodhi me agresionin e Rusis\u00eb ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs dhe p\u00ebrfshirjen, n\u00eb at\u00eb rast, t\u00eb centraleve b\u00ebrthamore civile n\u00eb Zaporizhzhia dhe t\u00eb impiantit fantazm\u00eb t\u00eb \u00c7ernobilit, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i shpejt\u00eb i sulmeve dhe opsioneve ushtarake n\u00eb Iran ka rindezur nj\u00eb alarm q\u00eb mendonim se ishte varrosur thell\u00eb n\u00eb frik\u00ebrat tona t\u00eb n\u00ebn nd\u00ebrgjegjshme t\u00eb Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodhte n\u00ebse bombat izraelite do t\u00eb godisnin pik\u00ebrisht depot e uraniumit t\u00eb pasuruar (si\u00e7 do t\u00eb shohim n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ndryshme)? A ekziston v\u00ebrtet mund\u00ebsia q\u00eb t\u00eb shkaktohet fenomeni i ndarjes s\u00eb atomit dhe rrjedhimisht nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim b\u00ebrthamor?<\/p>\n
Skenari b\u00ebhet edhe m\u00eb i paqart\u00eb n\u00eb rast t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorimit t\u00eb GBU-57, bomb\u00ebs s\u00eb ashtuquajtur \u201canti-bunker\u201d, e cila duhet t\u00eb furnizohet nga forcat ushtarake amerikane dhe p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonte miratimin e presidentit amerikan Donald Trump p\u00ebr nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfshirje t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn t\u00eb t\u00ebrthort\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Ashtu si n\u00eb rastet e m\u00ebparshme, nuk ekziston nj\u00eb \u201cliteratur\u00eb\u201d apo raste t\u00eb dokumentuara q\u00eb mund t\u00eb merren si referenc\u00eb e sakt\u00eb, ndaj duhet t\u00eb ecim me hipoteza. Siti m\u00eb i vjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr pasurimin e uraniumit n\u00eb Iran \u00ebsht\u00eb ai i Natanzit, 220 kilometra n\u00eb juglindje t\u00eb Teheranit, i mbrojtur nga nj\u00eb bateri kund\u00ebrajrore. Natanz \u00ebsht\u00eb objekti m\u00eb i madh n\u00eb Iran dhe aty \u201cfshihen\u201d shumica e centrifugave p\u00ebr pasurimin e uraniumit (vler\u00ebsohen rreth 10 mij\u00eb). Fjala \u201cfshihen\u201d \u00ebsht\u00eb mes thonj\u00ebzash sepse prania e k\u00ebtij objekti \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar prej shum\u00eb vitesh dhe sepse shumica e k\u00ebtyre centrifugave pasurojn\u00eb uraniumin deri n\u00eb 5%, q\u00eb konsiderohet nj\u00eb nivel i p\u00ebrshtatsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr q\u00ebllime civile, pra p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorim n\u00eb impiantet e prodhimit t\u00eb energjis\u00eb si ato n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Natanzi \u00ebsht\u00eb goditur tashm\u00eb n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e para t\u00eb sulmeve nga Izraeli, ndaj tashm\u00eb dim\u00eb nga AIEA-ja e drejtuar nga Rafael Grossi se nuk ka pasur emergjenca nga pik\u00ebpamja e rrezatimeve t\u00eb mundshme. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, numri dy i Grossit \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb italian, Massimo Aparo, i konsideruar nj\u00eb nga ekspert\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj n\u00eb bot\u00eb p\u00ebr dosjen b\u00ebrthamore iraniane.<\/p>\n
\u00cbsht\u00eb e mundur q\u00eb sulmet t\u00eb ken\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar gjithsesi centrifugat q\u00eb jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndjeshme ndaj dridhjeve (sidomos n\u00ebse ishin n\u00eb funksion n\u00eb at\u00eb moment), prandaj bombat mund t\u2019i \u201carrijn\u00eb\u201d dhe t\u2019i d\u00ebmtojn\u00eb ato edhe n\u00eb distanc\u00eb. Edhe mungesa e energjis\u00eb pas sulmit mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar k\u00ebto impiante pasurimi.<\/p>\n
Por t\u00eb vijm\u00eb tek pyetja m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme: n\u00ebse nis nj\u00eb zjarr mbi uranium, a ka rrezik p\u00ebr nj\u00eb reagim b\u00ebrthamor?<\/p>\n
Kushdo q\u00eb ka jetuar gjat\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb \u00c7ernobilit n\u00eb vitin 1986 nuk mund t\u00eb harroj\u00eb q\u00eb n\u00eb at\u00eb rast ishin t\u00eb pranish\u00ebm t\u00eb dy element\u00ebt: paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebria e b\u00ebrtham\u00ebs s\u00eb uraniumit dhe shp\u00ebrthimi q\u00eb m\u00eb pas l\u00ebshoi radionukleide n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb, duke i l\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebshir\u00eb t\u00eb er\u00ebrave. Kjo ishte fam\u00ebkeqja \u201cre atomike\u201d, edhe m\u00eb e rrezikshme sepse mund t\u00eb l\u00ebviz\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb realitet, teknikisht nj\u00eb \u201cbomb\u00eb atomike\u201d, si\u00e7 shpjegonte shpesh me holl\u00ebsi shkrimtari i dashur p\u00ebr sh\u00ebrbimet sekrete, por edhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb k\u00ebrkuarit, Frederick Forsyth (i ndjer\u00eb s\u00eb fundmi), \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb grup p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00ebsish. Dhe ky \u00ebsht\u00eb ndoshta aspekti m\u00eb delikat i akuz\u00ebs s\u00eb kryeministrit Benjamin Netanyahu: a po punonte Irani p\u00ebr nj\u00eb bomb\u00eb? Duhet jo vet\u00ebm uranium i pasuruar, por edhe nj\u00eb detonator (q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb aspak i leht\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u nd\u00ebrtuar), si dhe raketa dhe rampa t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtatshme p\u00ebr l\u00ebshim. Edhe pse nuk mund t\u00eb mohohet q\u00eb nj\u00eb treg i zi mund t\u00eb krijohet ose rikrijohet me Rusin\u00eb n\u00eb kushte t\u00eb m\u00ebdha pasigurie ekonomike dhe me depo b\u00ebrthamore q\u00eb nuk financohen m\u00eb nga SHBA (p\u00ebr vite me radh\u00eb SHBA kan\u00eb paguar p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb ish-BRSS-s\u00eb, p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur rrezikun radiologjik dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar tregjet e paligjshme).<\/p>\n
Pra, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndodhur nj\u00eb reaksion i ndarjes b\u00ebrthamore duhet t\u00eb krijohen disa kushte specifike dhe t\u00eb gjitha nj\u00ebherazi. Rreziku m\u00eb i madh n\u00eb nj\u00eb rast si ai i bombardimit t\u00eb Natanzit \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb reaksioni kimik sesa ai q\u00eb l\u00ebshon radionukleide.<\/p>\n
Uraniumi vet\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb toksik p\u00ebr sh\u00ebndetin. Ai gjendet n\u00eb natyr\u00eb dhe gjith\u00e7ka varet nga ekspozimi. M\u00eb e rrezikshme \u00ebsht\u00eb reaksioni kimik me florin q\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret gjat\u00eb procesit t\u00eb pasurimit dhe q\u00eb e kthen uraniumin n\u00eb nj\u00eb gaz, pra t\u00eb l\u00ebvizsh\u00ebm dhe agresiv. Edhe k\u00ebtu, florin n\u00eb sasi t\u00eb vogla e gjejm\u00eb edhe n\u00eb past\u00ebn e dh\u00ebmb\u00ebve, sepse \u00ebsht\u00eb i dobish\u00ebm p\u00ebr dh\u00ebmb\u00ebt. Por mbi nj\u00eb doz\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebs n\u00ebse thithet dhe shum\u00eb agresiv p\u00ebr l\u00ebkur\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb, pra, efekte lokale rreth objektit t\u00eb goditur.<\/p>\n
Vendi i dyt\u00eb p\u00ebr pasurimin e uraniumit (\u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar s\u00eb fundmi se Irani mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb t\u00eb tret\u00eb) \u00ebsht\u00eb ai i Fordo-s, 100 kilometra n\u00eb jugper\u00ebndim t\u00eb Teheranit. Aty, sipas AIEA-s\u00eb, ka m\u00eb pak centrifuga, por m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme. Pasurimi i uraniumit arrin n\u00eb nivelin 60%, shum\u00eb pran\u00eb nivelit 90% q\u00eb konsiderohet i p\u00ebrshtatsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorim ushtarak. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja p\u00ebrse AIEA publikoi nj\u00eb raport ku shprehej shqet\u00ebsimi i qart\u00eb se Irani po punonte, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn n\u00eb perspektiv\u00eb, p\u00ebr arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore. P\u00ebrndryshe, nuk do t\u00eb kishte arsye p\u00ebr t\u00eb pasur k\u00ebto centrifuga. Edhe pse, si\u00e7 u p\u00ebrmend m\u00eb par\u00eb, t\u00eb kesh kapacitetin real p\u00ebr t\u00eb prodhuar nj\u00eb bomb\u00eb atomike dhe p\u00ebr ta l\u00ebshuar \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje tjet\u00ebr.<\/p>\n
Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb objekti q\u00eb arsenali izraelit nuk mund ta arrij\u00eb pa bombat speciale amerikane.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2023, u l\u00ebshua nj\u00eb alarm pasi forcat ruse godit\u00ebn nj\u00eb depo arm\u00ebsh me uranium t\u00eb varf\u00ebruar n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Edhe at\u00ebher\u00eb u fol p\u00ebr frik\u00ebn e nj\u00eb reje toksike, por stacioni i matjes n\u00eb Trieste (i p\u00ebrputhur at\u00ebher\u00eb me er\u00ebrat q\u00eb vinin nga Ukraina) nuk raportoi asgj\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Mbetet nj\u00eb pyetje e fundit: \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodhte n\u00ebse bombat GBU-57 do t\u00eb godisnin n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritur dhe n\u00eb thell\u00ebsi (kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00ebnyra e sulmit) objektin n\u00eb Fordo?<\/p>\n
N\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb nuk kemi precedent\u00eb. P\u00ebr t\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje, duhet t\u00eb dim\u00eb me sakt\u00ebsi sasin\u00eb e uraniumit t\u00eb depozituar n\u00eb at\u00eb objekt iranian. Hipoteza \u00ebsht\u00eb se sasia nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e mjaftueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkaktuar shqet\u00ebsim t\u00eb madh. Por p\u00ebrgjigjja p\u00ebrfundimtare \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb duart e inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane dhe izraelite.<\/p>\n
The post \u00c7far\u00eb ndodh n\u00ebse bombat godasin depozitat e uraniumit n\u00eb Iran?<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ashtu si\u00e7 ndodhi me agresionin e Rusis\u00eb ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs dhe p\u00ebrfshirjen, n\u00eb at\u00eb rast, t\u00eb centraleve b\u00ebrthamore civile n\u00eb Zaporizhzhia dhe t\u00eb impiantit fantazm\u00eb t\u00eb \u00c7ernobilit, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i shpejt\u00eb i sulmeve dhe opsioneve ushtarake n\u00eb Iran ka rindezur nj\u00eb alarm q\u00eb mendonim se ishte varrosur thell\u00eb n\u00eb frik\u00ebrat tona t\u00eb n\u00ebn nd\u00ebrgjegjshme t\u00eb Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26759\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}