Shqip\u00ebria hyri n\u00eb vitin 2025 me nj\u00eb popullsi m\u00eb t\u00eb plakur dhe emigracion q\u00eb thellohet m\u00eb tej. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave zyrtare t\u00eb INSTAT p\u00ebr 1 janar 2025, mosha mediane u rrit me 0,8 vjet brenda 1 viti duke arritur n\u00eb 44,3 vje\u00e7, nd\u00ebrsa emigracioni neto (ikjet minus ardhjet) arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb rreth -29 mij\u00eb persona. Popullsia ra n\u00eb 11 qarqet e vendit, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 Tiran\u00ebs. Shkodra p\u00ebsoi tkurrjen m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse rrethanat demografike t\u00eb vendit nuk ndryshojn\u00eb, me rritjen e lindjeve dhe frenimin e emigracionit, Shqip\u00ebria rrezikon t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00ebn kufirin 2 milion\u00eb banor\u00ebve p\u00ebrpara vitit 2035. P\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur pasojat e plakjes, ekonomia e vendit duhet t\u00eb rritet m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 5% n\u00eb vit, p\u00ebrllogarisin institucionet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n
T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e reja zyrtare mbi popullsin\u00eb treguan se m\u00eb 1 janar 2025, n\u00eb vend jetojn\u00eb 2,36 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, me r\u00ebnie 1.8% nga Censi i vitit 2023.<\/p>\n
Tkurrja me m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 27 \u2013 30 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb n\u00eb vit, e p\u00ebrqendruar kryesisht te moshat e reja, rrezikon ta \u00e7oj\u00eb treguesin e popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebrtej \u00e7do skenari dhe gjithashtu i b\u00ebn edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira zgjidhjet.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2024, migracioni neto negativ u dyfishua krahasuar me nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb me \u2013 28,8 mij\u00eb persona nga -13,761 persona n\u00eb vitin 2023.<\/p>\n
Ky rit\u00ebm i largimit ka ndikuar jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb numrin e p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb, por edhe n\u00eb struktur\u00ebn e saj demografike, pasi largohen m\u00eb s\u00eb shumti t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb dhe familjet e reja.<\/p>\n
Paralelisht me emigracionin, Shqip\u00ebria ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb cik\u00ebl t\u00eb gjat\u00eb me lindshm\u00ebri shum\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt n\u00eb 1.3 lindje p\u00ebr grua.<\/p>\n
Kjo reflektohet n\u00eb ulje t\u00eb leht\u00eb t\u00eb raportit t\u00eb var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve, nga 23.9% n\u00eb 2024, n\u00eb 23.8% n\u00eb 2025 dhe plakje e p\u00ebrshpejtuar e popullsis\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa raporti i var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur me 2.2 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje nd\u00ebrmjet 2023 dhe 2025. Shqip\u00ebria ka tani nj\u00eb nga popullsit\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb vjetra n\u00eb Ballkan dhe Europ\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Mosha mediane e BE n\u00eb janar 2025 ishte 44.7 vje\u00e7, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri 44.3 vje\u00e7, sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb fundit.<\/p>\n
Pasojat kan\u00eb nisur t\u00eb ndihen. Vendi ka m\u00eb pak t\u00eb rinj q\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs, ka m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb moshuar q\u00eb dalin n\u00eb pension.<\/p>\n
Shkollat n\u00eb zona t\u00eb t\u00ebra rrezikojn\u00eb mbylljen p\u00ebr munges\u00eb nx\u00ebn\u00ebsish dhe administrata dhe tregu i pun\u00ebs vuajn\u00eb nga mungesa e burimeve njer\u00ebzore.<\/p>\n
Demograf\u00ebt dhe ekspert\u00ebt e ekonomis\u00eb mendojn\u00eb se pa nd\u00ebrhyrje t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb mbahet n\u00eb funksion ekonomia, pensionet dhe kujdesi sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr ekspertin Ilir G\u00ebdeshi, i cili prej vitesh merret me zhvillimet demografike t\u00eb vendit, duhen politika urgjente q\u00eb t\u00eb frenojn\u00eb emigracionin dhe t\u00eb tjera q\u00eb nxisin natalitetin n\u00eb vend.<\/p>\n
Lindjet n\u00ebn kufirin 2,1 p\u00ebr grua b\u00ebjn\u00eb q\u00eb \u00e7do brez i ri t\u00eb jet\u00eb 40% m\u00eb i vog\u00ebl se ai q\u00eb del n\u00eb pension, duke e v\u00ebn\u00eb vendin p\u00ebrball\u00eb sfid\u00ebs s\u00eb ekzistenc\u00ebs n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb shekull.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrqendrimi i emigracionit n\u00eb moshat e reja ul drejtp\u00ebrdrejt produktivitetin potencial sepse po largohet kapitali njer\u00ebzor me arsim dhe gjuh\u00eb t\u00eb huaja, nd\u00ebrsa rrit barr\u00ebn e pensioneve p\u00ebr rezident\u00ebt q\u00eb mbeten.<\/p>\n
Jet\u00ebgjat\u00ebsia m\u00eb e lart\u00eb 80,9 vje\u00e7 p\u00ebr grat\u00eb dhe 75,3 vje\u00e7 p\u00ebr burrat ushtron m\u00eb shum\u00eb presion mbi shpenzimet p\u00ebr pensione e sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsi, teksa vendi yn\u00eb edhe tani ka shpenzime publike p\u00ebr banor\u00eb sa 34% t\u00eb mesatares s\u00eb BE-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, ritmi mesatar i rritjes ekonomike 2015 \u2013 2024 \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 3.5% n\u00eb vit, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i mjaftuesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb ngushtuar hendekun me BE-n\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Struktura e ekonomis\u00eb dominohet nga sektor\u00eb me produktivitet t\u00eb ul\u00ebt si bujq\u00ebsi fasoneri, nd\u00ebrtim dhe turiz\u00ebm sezonal. Financat publike dhe tregu i pun\u00ebs tashm\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00ebn presion.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr \u00e7do vit var\u00ebsia e t\u00eb moshuarve ndaj forc\u00ebs s\u00eb pun\u00ebs rritet me 1 pik\u00eb p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vit dhe skema e pensioneve k\u00ebrkon financime shtes\u00eb sa 0,2% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vit.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur pasojat e plakjes, ekonomia e vendit duhet t\u00eb rritet m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 5% n\u00eb vit, \u2013 p\u00ebrllogarisin institucione t\u00eb tilla si FMN-ja.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur efektet e plakjes, vendi yn\u00eb duhet t\u00eb investoj\u00eb te popullsia e mbetur sidomos n\u00eb dixhitalizim, automatizim n\u00eb agrop\u00ebrpunim, grante n\u00eb k\u00ebrkim dhe zhvillim dhe t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb nj\u00eb ambient t\u00eb favorsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr kthimin e diaspor\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse nuk do t\u00eb ket\u00eb ndryshime n\u00eb treguesit aktual\u00eb demografik\u00eb deficiti i ISSH-s\u00eb dyfishohet brenda dekad\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse nuk nd\u00ebrhyhet tani p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur baz\u00ebn tatimore, p\u00ebr t\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr kapital njer\u00ebzor dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb modernizuar sektor\u00ebt ky\u00e7, hendeku midis mosh\u00ebs n\u00eb rritje dhe mir\u00ebqenies ekonomike do t\u00eb zgjerohet, duke i ekspozuar financat publike dhe rritjen afatgjat\u00eb ndaj rrezikut sistemik.<\/p>\n
Shqip\u00ebria hyn n\u00eb 2025 me nj\u00eb popullsi m\u00eb t\u00eb plakur, var\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb ekonomike dhe ende n\u00eb humbje migratore. K\u00ebto zhvillime po ushtrojn\u00eb presion n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs, financave publike dhe modelit t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike.<\/p>\n
Emigrimi i p\u00ebrqendruar n\u00eb moshat e reja po redukton popullsin\u00eb e re n\u00eb mosh\u00eb dhe rrit pesh\u00ebn relative t\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve.<\/p>\n
Sipas projeksioneve, Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb nj\u00eb mosh\u00eb mediane mbi 47 vje\u00e7 brenda dekad\u00ebs, n\u00ebse nuk ndryshon trajektorja e lindjeve dhe e migracionit.<\/p>\n
Rritja e var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme n\u00ebnkupton se p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 persona n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune, tani ka 57 persona f\u00ebmij\u00eb apo pensionist\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Kjo thellon presionin mbi skemat e pensioneve dhe shpenzimet e sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebson raportin kontribut-p\u00ebrfitim.\/Monitor<\/p>\n
The post \u201cSukseset\u201d e Ram\u00ebs, Shqip\u00ebria rrezikon t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00ebn kufirin e 2 milion\u00eb banor\u00ebve p\u00ebrpara vitit 2035<\/a> appeared first on GIJOTINA<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Shqip\u00ebria hyri n\u00eb vitin 2025 me nj\u00eb popullsi m\u00eb t\u00eb plakur dhe emigracion q\u00eb thellohet m\u00eb tej. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave zyrtare t\u00eb INSTAT p\u00ebr 1 janar 2025, mosha mediane u rrit me 0,8 vjet brenda 1 viti duke arritur n\u00eb 44,3 vje\u00e7, nd\u00ebrsa emigracioni neto (ikjet minus ardhjet) arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb rreth -29 mij\u00eb persona. Popullsia […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26209"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26209\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}