Se si do t\u00eb arrihet rezultati i 11 Majit, mjafton t\u00eb bisedosh me nj\u00eb punonj\u00ebs t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs p\u00ebr shantazhin sistematik mbi vendin e pun\u00ebs, mjafton t\u00eb shoh\u00ebsh si p\u00ebrs\u00ebriten shabllon transmetimet e fushat\u00ebs n\u00eb edicionet e lajmeve apo t\u00eb lexosh p\u00ebrgjimet e SKY ECC p\u00ebr organizat\u00ebn kriminale t\u00eb Elbasanit, p\u00ebrgjimet e dosjes \u201c\u00c7yrbja\u201d n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs, p\u00ebrgjimet e dosjes \u201cTahiri\u201d, p\u00ebrgjimet e Avdyljave n\u00eb Shijak, p\u00ebrgjimin e Edi Ram\u00ebs dhe ministrave t\u00eb tij p\u00ebr zgjedhjet n\u00eb Dib\u00ebr etj etj.<\/p>\n
Prandaj kur sondazhet konfirmojn\u00eb \u00e7do jav\u00eb ep\u00ebrsine konstante t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Socialiste n\u00eb rezultatin e 11 Majit, ato shnd\u00ebrrohen leht\u00ebsisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb arm\u00eb t\u00eb propagand\u00ebs, q\u00eb ka p\u00ebr q\u00ebllim t\u00eb p\u00ebrforcoj\u00eb narrativ\u00ebn e Ram\u00ebs q\u00eb thot\u00eb: \u201cShikojeni edhe vet\u00eb, populli m\u00eb do\u201d. Sepse sondazhet mund t\u00eb lexohen si mat\u00ebs t\u00eb preferencave politike n\u00eb nj\u00eb shoq\u00ebri t\u00eb lir\u00eb e demokratike, por mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb edhe mat\u00ebs t\u00eb atmosfer\u00ebs s\u00eb frik\u00ebs apo nivelit t\u00eb n\u00ebnshtrimit, n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend, ku qytetar\u00ebt nd\u00ebshkohen p\u00ebr bindjet e tyre politike.<\/p>\n
E megjithat\u00eb, tashm\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri sondazhet jan\u00eb nj\u00eb realitet q\u00eb s\u2019mund t\u00eb shp\u00ebrfillet, dhe nj\u00ebz\u00ebri po ofrojn\u00eb nj\u00eb panoram\u00eb t\u00eb 11 Majit, me diferenca t\u00eb vogla nga nj\u00ebri-tjetri.<\/p>\n
Kat\u00ebr sondazhe t\u00eb ndryshme, nga kat\u00ebr kompani\u2014 Barometri i Eurone\u00ebs Albania , McLaughlin & Associates (p\u00ebr Top Channel), Notosondaggi (p\u00ebr News24) dhe Piepoli (p\u00ebr Report TV) kan\u00eb sjell\u00eb projeksionet e tyre p\u00ebr vot\u00ebn e shqiptar\u00ebve. Por si duhet lexuar ky \u201clum\u00eb shifrash\u201d dhe \u00e7far\u00eb thon\u00eb ato p\u00ebr rezultatin e pritsh\u00ebm t\u00eb 11 majit?<\/p>\n
Sondazhi nuk mat direkt vot\u00ebn p\u00ebr parti apo koalicione, por p\u00eblqyeshm\u00ebrin\u00eb personale t\u00eb lider\u00ebve politik\u00eb. Edi Rama kryeson me 53.3% p\u00eblqyeshm\u00ebri, duke l\u00ebn\u00eb pas Sali Berish\u00ebn me 39.1%. Lulzim Basha (11.2%) dhe Ilir Meta (8.3%) shfaqen me nivel t\u00eb lart\u00eb mosaprovimi prej 84%.<\/p>\n
Figura t\u00eb reja si Adriatik Lapaj (35.8%) dhe Agron Shehaj (25.6%) rezultojn\u00eb me vler\u00ebsime relativisht t\u00eb larta p\u00ebr p\u00eblqyeshm\u00ebri personale, nd\u00ebrsa Arlind Qori mbetet m\u00eb posht\u00eb me 15.6% p\u00eblqyeshm\u00ebri dhe 41.2% mosaprovim.<\/p>\n
Ky sondazh nuk ofron projeksion mandatesh, por sinjalizon se Rama, pavar\u00ebsisht konsumit t\u00eb gjat\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet, ruan ende avantazh personal t\u00eb duksh\u00ebm si figur\u00eb politike.<\/p>\n
Screenshot<\/p>\n
Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb sondazhi i par\u00eb q\u00eb mat vot\u00ebn n\u00eb rang komb\u00ebtar, me nj\u00eb kampion prej 2005 personash intervistuar mes 11-13 prillit. Rezultatet jan\u00eb si m\u00eb posht\u00eb:<\/p>\n
\u2022 PS: 46% (44-48%)
\n\u2022 PD + PL (Aleanca p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb Madh\u00ebshtore): 35% (33-37%)
\n\u2022 Mund\u00ebsia e Agron Shehajt: 6.5% (5.5-7.5%)
\n\u2022 Nisma \u2013 Shqip\u00ebria B\u00ebhet e Adriatik Lapajt: 5% (4-6%)<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb sondazh bie n\u00eb sy fakti q\u00eb opozita PD+PL \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb posht\u00eb rezultatit t\u00eb vitit 2021 (46.2%), duke humbur rreth 11% t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjes s\u00eb dikurshme. Partit\u00eb e vogla, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb PSD, L\u00ebvizjen Bashk\u00eb, koalicionin Euroatlantik t\u00eb Bash\u00ebs dhe Djathtas p\u00ebr Zhvillim, mbeten posht\u00eb pragut t\u00eb ndarjes s\u00eb mandateve, sipas k\u00ebtij parashikimi.<\/p>\n
Ky sondazh ka nj\u00eb trajt\u00eb tjet\u00ebr, pasi matjet i kryen n\u00eb baz\u00eb t\u00eb qarqeve, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb parashikoj\u00eb sa m\u00eb sakt\u00eb rezultatin e p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Piepoli, i transmetuar n\u00eb Report TV, q\u00eb nuk e fsheh interesin p\u00ebr t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur qeverin\u00eb, ka publikuar s\u00eb fundmi matjet p\u00ebr Tiran\u00ebn. N\u00eb kryeqytet i jep Partis\u00eb Socialiste nj\u00eb mandat m\u00eb shum\u00eb nga zgjedhjet e kaluara, nd\u00ebrsa e \u00e7on koalicionin PD-PL n\u00eb 13-14 mandate, me nj\u00eb humbje prej 4 mandatesh. Sipas kompanis\u00eb q\u00eb ka kontraktuar televizioni n\u00eb pron\u00ebsi t\u00eb Karlo Bolinos, mandatet q\u00eb l\u00eb Berisha ndahen mes Adriatik Lapajt me 2-3 mandate dhe Agron Shehajt 1-2 mandate.<\/p>\n
Barometri ka krijuar nj\u00eb tradit\u00eb tashm\u00eb n\u00eb parashikimet e rezultateve. Matja m\u00eb e fundit, me kampion 1600 persona intervistuar ball\u00eb p\u00ebr ball\u00eb mes 10-21 prillit, jep k\u00ebt\u00eb projeksion p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vendin.<\/p>\n
\u2022 PS: 47.9% (45.9%-49.9%)
\n\u2022 PD-PL (Aleanca Shqip\u00ebria Madh\u00ebshtore): 33.7% (31.7%-35.7%)
\n\u2022 Nisma Shqip\u00ebria B\u00ebhet: 6.7% (5.2%-8.2%)
\n\u2022 Mund\u00ebsia e Shehajt: 6.3% (4.8%-7.8%)
\n\u2022 L\u00ebvizja Bashk\u00eb: 2.4% (1.4%-3.4%)
\n\u2022 Partit\u00eb e tjera: 3% (2%-4%)
\n\u2022 T\u00eb pavendosur ose refuzues: 11%<\/p>\n
Nga kjo matje e Barometrit, gjithsesi \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb parashikohet numri i sakt\u00eb i mandateve q\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb secila parti, por bie n\u00eb sy se Rama ruan t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn p\u00ebrqindje, nd\u00ebrsa Berisha ka nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie n\u00eb krahasim me p\u00ebrqindjen q\u00eb fitoi Basha kat\u00ebr vite m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Ajo q\u00eb parathon\u00eb thuajse t\u00eb gjitha sondazhet n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri \u00ebsht\u00eb se, n\u00eb 11 Maj forc\u00eb e par\u00eb do t\u00eb jet\u00eb Partia Socialiste e Edi Ram\u00ebs, q\u00eb n\u00eb rastin m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb do t\u00eb marr\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje rezultatin e zgjedhjeve t\u00eb vitit 2021, (48.67%). Kjo ep\u00ebrsi ndaj koalicionit q\u00eb udh\u00ebheq Berisha, her\u00eb varion nga 10% diferenc\u00eb minimumi deri n\u00eb 13-14% maksimumi.<\/p>\n
Mesazhi tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb se Adriatik Lapaj dhe Agron Shehaj dalin si faktor\u00eb real\u00eb politik\u00eb pas zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 11 Majit. K\u00ebta duksh\u00ebm p\u00ebrfitojn\u00eb nga goditjet e gjithanshme me t\u00eb cilat Rama e dob\u00ebsoi opozit\u00ebn, q\u00eb nga burgosja e Sali Berish\u00ebs p\u00ebr gati nj\u00eb vit n\u00eb arrest sht\u00ebpie apo duke burgosur Ilir Met\u00ebn, i cili 4 vite m\u00eb par\u00eb arriti thuajse 110 mij\u00eb vota me LSI e tij.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00ebsoj si kat\u00ebr vite m\u00eb par\u00eb, shkenc\u00ebrisht \u00ebsht\u00eb e pamundur t\u00eb gjesh votuesit e Tom Doshit n\u00eb k\u00ebto projeksione, megjith\u00ebse puna e partis\u00eb s\u00eb tij n\u00eb kryeqytet \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e dukshme dhe shum\u00ebkush \u00ebsht\u00eb gati t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb bast se pas 11 Majit ai do t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebris\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin rezultat si n\u00eb 2021 n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimin e Ram\u00ebs k\u00ebto rezultate jan\u00eb nj\u00eb aset i paz\u00ebv\u00ebnd\u00ebsuesh\u00ebm i propagand\u00ebs. Jo m\u00eb kot, n\u00eb daljet publike, i nxit qytetar\u00ebt t\u2019i hedhin nj\u00eb sy parashikimeve t\u00eb sondazheve duke e vler\u00ebsuar reputacionin e\u00a0organizator\u00ebve q\u00eb n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera kan\u00eb gjetur sakt\u00ebsisht rezultatet e zgjedhjeve.<\/p>\n
\u201cAsnj\u00eb sondazh n\u00eb asnj\u00eb ekran nuk e nxjerr dot K\u00ebnet\u00ebn, jo p\u00ebrpara, por as af\u00ebr nesh sa t\u00eb mund t\u00eb flitet p\u00ebr ndonj\u00eb rikthim imagjinar t\u00eb k\u00ebnet\u00ebs n\u00eb krye t\u00eb vendit\u201d<\/em> u shpreh ai, pas daljes s\u00eb rezultatetit t\u00eb sondazhit t\u00eb Top Channel.<\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, Sali Berisha, duke harruar se\u00a0ka disa t\u00eb burgosur politik\u00eb brenda radh\u00ebve t\u00eb aleanc\u00ebs s\u00eb tij, thot\u00eb se Rama ka shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb nga 1 milion euro p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb rezultatet e k\u00ebtyre sondazheve. \u201cEdi Rama iu ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb kompanive t\u00eb polle-ve 1 mln euro secil\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb falsifikuar rezultatet e polle-ve. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebrteta. Por sot p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb mir\u00eb e v\u00ebrteta \u00ebsht\u00eb se p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb falsifikim, kandidat\u00ebt tan\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb ngjitje vertikale\u201d<\/em> \u00ebsht\u00eb shprehur kreu i PD, kur \u00ebsht\u00eb pyetur p\u00ebr projeksionet q\u00eb e nxjerrin humb\u00ebs n\u00eb zgjedhje.\/Lapsi.al<\/p>\n The post Kat\u00ebr sondazhet\/ Si p\u00ebrdoren shifrat p\u00ebr propagand\u00ebn e 11 Majit<\/a> appeared first on Lapsi.al<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Se si do t\u00eb arrihet rezultati i 11 Majit, mjafton t\u00eb bisedosh me nj\u00eb punonj\u00ebs t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs p\u00ebr shantazhin sistematik mbi vendin e pun\u00ebs, mjafton t\u00eb shoh\u00ebsh si p\u00ebrs\u00ebriten shabllon transmetimet e fushat\u00ebs n\u00eb edicionet e lajmeve apo t\u00eb lexosh p\u00ebrgjimet e SKY ECC p\u00ebr organizat\u00ebn kriminale t\u00eb Elbasanit, p\u00ebrgjimet e dosjes \u201c\u00c7yrbja\u201d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":17661,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17660\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17661"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}