Agjencia nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare e vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb kreditit Moody\u2019s, n\u00eb rishikimin e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit, t\u00eb dat\u00ebs 18 shtator, ka p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar perspektiv\u00ebn e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb nga \u201ce q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d n\u00eb \u201cpozitive\u201d dhe ka konfirmuar vler\u00ebsimin e vendit n\u00eb nivelin \u201cBa3\u201d.<\/p>\n
Sipas agjencis\u00eb, perspektiva pozitive pasqyron forcimin e pozicioneve fiskale dhe t\u00eb jashtme t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, si dhe p\u00ebrshpejtimin e zbatimit t\u00eb reformave strukturore gjat\u00eb koh\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit, n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb procesit t\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian.<\/p>\n
Konfirmimi i vler\u00ebsimit \u201cBa3\u201d pasqyron performanc\u00ebn solide t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike, nivelet e moderuara t\u00eb borxhit publik, q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e ekonomis\u00eb ndaj nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb goditjesh gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit, si dhe pritshm\u00ebrin\u00eb se rritja do t\u00eb mbetet solide n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn afatmesme.<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s parashikon rritje reale t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb prej 3.6% n\u00eb vitin 2026 dhe 3.5% n\u00eb vitin 2027, duke theksuar se ekonomia shqiptare ka d\u00ebshmuar deri tani q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri ndaj efekteve t\u00eb konfliktit n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme, fal\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetjes pothuajse t\u00ebr\u00ebsore tek energjia rinovueshme.<\/p>\n
Agjencia thekson se autoritetet kan\u00eb d\u00ebshmuar vazhdimisht disiplin\u00eb fiskale dhe se financat publike jan\u00eb forcuar progresivisht. Shqip\u00ebria ka regjistruar suficite primare n\u00eb secilin nga tre vitet e fundit, pas vendosjes s\u00eb rregullit fiskal q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon ruajtjen e nj\u00eb bilanci primar jo negativ. Deficiti fiskal n\u00eb vitin 2025 rezultoi 1.8% e PBB-s\u00eb, m\u00eb i ul\u00ebt se niveli i buxhetuar, nd\u00ebr t\u00eb tjera fal\u00eb performanc\u00ebs solide t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave.<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s parashikon q\u00eb, fal\u00eb rritjes ekonomike t\u00eb fort\u00eb dhe deficiteve t\u00eb kontrolluara fiskale, borxhi i qeverisjes s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb ulet gradualisht, n\u00eb 50.2% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2027, nga 52.9% n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vitit 2025. Ky p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsim mb\u00ebshtetet nga reformat fiskale, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb zbatimin e Strategjis\u00eb Afatmesme t\u00eb t\u00eb Ardhurave n\u00eb vitin 2025, p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimet n\u00eb menaxhimin e investimeve publike dhe respektimin e rregullave fiskale, t\u00eb cilat k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb uljen e borxhit derisa ai t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 45% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb. Agjencia thekson gjithashtu se rreziqet e likuiditetit t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb zbuten nga aksesi n\u00eb financime nga BE-ja dhe institucionet financiare nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, menaxhimi proaktiv i borxhit dhe baza e q\u00ebndrueshme e financimit t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Pozicioni i jasht\u00ebm i Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb u forcua ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00eb vitin 2025, me deficitin e llogaris\u00eb korente q\u00eb u ngushtua n\u00eb nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt historik prej 0.7% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb, nga 2.4% n\u00eb vitin 2024, fal\u00eb nj\u00eb deficiti m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl n\u00eb tregtin\u00eb e mallrave dhe nj\u00eb suficiti m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb sh\u00ebrbime, q\u00eb pasqyron rritjen e fuqishme t\u00eb eksporteve t\u00eb lidhura me turizmin. Kjo prirje ka vazhduar edhe n\u00eb vitin 2026, pavar\u00ebsisht goditjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb energjis\u00eb si pasoj\u00eb e konfliktit n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme, dhe Moody\u2019s pret q\u00eb deficiti i llogaris\u00eb korente t\u00eb mbetet i ul\u00ebt, mesatarisht rreth 1% e PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitet 2026\u20132027.<\/p>\n
Prurjet neto t\u00eb investimeve t\u00eb huaja direkte mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb konsiderueshme, rreth 5% e PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2025 dhe n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2026, duke vazhduar ta financojn\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht, madje ta mbi-financojn\u00eb, deficitin e llogaris\u00eb korente. Rezervat valutore jan\u00eb rritur n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb progresive, duke arritur n\u00eb rreth 7.9 miliard\u00eb euro n\u00eb qershor 2026, nivel q\u00eb mbulon duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb shum\u00eb se shtat\u00eb muaj importe dhe p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb mbrojtje t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme ndaj goditjeve t\u00eb jashtme.<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s v\u00ebren se q\u00eb nga hapja e negociatave t\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit n\u00eb vitin 2022, Shqip\u00ebria ka krijuar nj\u00eb dinamik\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme reformash. N\u00eb maj 2026, vendi sh\u00ebnoi nj\u00eb moment ky\u00e7, kur BE-ja vler\u00ebsoi se Shqip\u00ebria kishte p\u00ebrmbushur piketat e nd\u00ebrmjetme t\u00eb Grupkapitullit \u201cThemeloret\u201d, q\u00eb mbulon institucionet demokratike, reform\u00ebn e administrat\u00ebs publike, sundimin e ligjit dhe kriteret ekonomike. Ky zhvillim i mund\u00ebson Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb t\u00eb filloj\u00eb mbylljen e kapitujve negociues.<\/p>\n
Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrfitoj\u00eb nga financimet e BE-s\u00eb, si p\u00ebrmes instrumenteve t\u00eb paraan\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit, ashtu edhe p\u00ebrmes Planit t\u00eb Ri t\u00eb Rritjes p\u00ebr Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor, n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb t\u00eb cilit alokimi indikativ p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb arrin n\u00eb 922.1 milion\u00eb euro. Agjencia vler\u00ebson se progresi i vazhduesh\u00ebm i reformave, i mb\u00ebshtetur nga k\u00ebto financime, ka potencialin t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb m\u00eb tej profilin institucional dhe t\u00eb qeverisjes s\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n
Ky p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsim i p\u00ebrspektiv\u00ebs nga Moody\u2019s dhe ri-konfirmim i vler\u00ebsimit \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb tregues mjaft i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm i stabilitetit makroekonomik t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe progresit t\u00eb vazhduesh\u00ebm n\u00eb reformat strukturore, duke dh\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb sinjal pozitiv p\u00ebr investitor\u00ebt nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar\u00eb dhe duke mb\u00ebshtetur objektivat afatgjata t\u00eb integrimit evropian t\u00eb vendit.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Agjencia nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare e vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb kreditit Moody\u2019s, n\u00eb rishikimin e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit, t\u00eb dat\u00ebs 18 shtator, ka p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar perspektiv\u00ebn e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb nga \u201ce q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d n\u00eb \u201cpozitive\u201d dhe ka konfirmuar vler\u00ebsimin e vendit n\u00eb nivelin \u201cBa3\u201d. Sipas agjencis\u00eb, perspektiva pozitive pasqyron forcimin e pozicioneve fiskale dhe t\u00eb jashtme t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, si dhe p\u00ebrshpejtimin e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100124\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zennihost.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}